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Longwood Lancers

Also known as: Longwood Lancers
Program History

2013 Team Stats (1 games)

53.0
PPG
78.9
Opp
-12.5
Margin
44.4%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
36.0
RPG
13.0
APG
30.0
TO
81.6
Pace

Model Outputs

2012-2013
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1075 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1041 (#341) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +147 elo More → 920 (#536) HCA +147 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More → +16.8 (#307) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -4.9 (#384) HCA +3.3
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -47.9 More → 0.003 (#315) NetEff -47.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 74.8 More → 0.362 (#550) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 74.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.302 (#438) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.310 (#450) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 154 | GP 32 More → 820 (#536) RD 154 | GP 32

2013 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2012-11-09 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 47 - 81
2012-11-15 vs Norfolk State Spartans L 66 - 78
2012-11-18 @ Arkansas Razorbacks L 63 - 112
2012-11-20 @ Creighton Bluejays L 57 - 105
2012-11-23 @ Florida A&M Rattlers W 86 - 83
2012-11-24 vs Cornell Big Red T 0 - 0
2012-11-28 vs Central Pennsylvania College Knights W 88 - 75
2012-12-01 vs Dartmouth Big Green L 53 - 61
2012-12-10 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 53 - 89
2012-12-13 vs Southern Virginia Knights W 86 - 74
2012-12-17 @ Canisius Golden Griffins L 54 - 82
2012-12-19 @ Seton Hall Pirates L 61 - 79
2012-12-21 @ VCU Rams L 56 - 93
2012-12-31 vs Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 71 - 79
2013-01-05 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 72 - 80
2013-01-09 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 73 - 83
2013-01-12 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 62 - 75
2013-01-16 @ Radford Highlanders L 72 - 82
2013-01-19 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 65 - 68
2013-01-22 @ Liberty Flames L 47 - 74
2013-01-26 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 71 - 82
2013-01-30 @ High Point Panthers L 60 - 88
2013-02-02 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs L 65 - 76
2013-02-06 vs VMI Keydets L 60 - 93
2013-02-09 @ Winthrop Eagles W 62 - 56
2013-02-13 vs High Point Panthers L 53 - 82
2013-02-16 vs Radford Highlanders W 76 - 61
2013-02-19 vs Liberty Flames W 102 - 101
2013-02-23 @ UT Martin Skyhawks L 79 - 89
2013-02-27 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 79 - 66
2013-03-02 @ VMI Keydets L 80 - 94
2013-03-05 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 87 - 72
2013-03-07 @ VMI Keydets L 86 - 90

2013 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
T. Carey T. Carey G 33 34.1 15.6 5.1 1.8 2.2 0.6 1.9 0.9 22.5 2 0.3 2.9 41.9 47.1 100.0 -0.09 766.9 54.8
M. Kessens M. Kessens F 33 32.7 13.7 8.8 1.4 1.2 1.3 2.9 1.0 22.4 -102 -3.1 -5.4 54.5 100.0 75.0 0.62 590.4 56.1
J. Dublin J. Dublin F 33 24.4 10.0 5.7 0.5 0.5 0.6 1.8 0.6 14.9 -236 -7.2 -13.8 65.0 0 40.0 -1.18 743.2 65.0
N. Brown N. Brown G 17 27.9 9.7 2.9 3.6 1.2 0.1 3.9 1.1 12.6 -128 -7.5 -12.3 38.9 44.4 42.9 -0.49 391.4 50.0
D. Robinson D. Robinson G 33 27.9 8.8 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.0 1.7 0.6 10.2 -78 -2.6 -5.5 33.3 12.5 66.7 -0.07 555.6 35.7
F. Holloway F. Holloway - 2 20.5 7.5 6.0 0.5 0.5 1.0 3.5 0.0 12.0 - - - 0 0 0 0.01 0 0
K. Ziegler K. Ziegler F 33 21.3 7.1 2.9 1.0 0.6 0.1 1.7 0.6 9.4 -207 -6.3 -10.9 47.4 0 55.6 -0.59 509.6 47.4
L. Woodhouse L. Woodhouse G 33 26.3 5.2 2.2 5.5 0.7 0.1 3.0 0.3 10.4 -217 -6.6 -12.3 33.3 0.0 100.0 -1.04 865.4 33.3
M. Parker M. Parker F 17 8.4 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.6 0.1 2.4 63 10.5 27.8 100.0 100.0 0 0.73 1600.0 150.0
A. Taylor A. Taylor G 10 7.6 1.7 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.7 0.1 1.4 -105 -11.7 -47.9 0.0 0.0 0 -1.01 850.0 0.0
S. Shockley S. Shockley G 17 4.3 0.9 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.4 -45 -2.6 -16.3 25.0 33.3 0 -0.42 200.0 37.5
J. Havenstein J. Havenstein F 31 9.6 0.7 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 2.1 -211 -7.0 -26.1 42.9 0 100.0 -2.07 154.6 42.9
K. Staine K. Staine F 11 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG