Model Predictions
| Model | Presbyterian Blue Hose | Longwood Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✗ |
| Pythagorean | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Longwood Lancers -11 (71-82). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Presbyterian Blue Hose
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Washington * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Khalid Mutakabbir * | 40 | 10-17 | 3-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 29 | 17 | - |
| Jordan Downing * | 36 | 6-14 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 15 | 8 | - |
| Ryan McTavish * | 16 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| William Truss * | 16 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Joshua Clyburn | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Ryan Hargrave | 23 | 4-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Austin Anderson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodhouse * | 40 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Tristan Carey * | 38 | 3-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Michael Kessens * | 36 | 6-10 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 12 | - |
| David Robinson * | 34 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 5-7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| Jeylani Dublin * | 23 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 12 | - |
| Karl Ziegler | 20 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Jeff Havenstein | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter