Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | UNC Asheville Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.8% | 85.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Pythagorean | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.3% | 98.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 10.0% | 90.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UNC Asheville Bulldogs +3 (68-65). Win probabilities: out-of-sample forecasts from the weekly fit before the game, the same forecasts as the model pages.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Woodhouse * | 39 | 2-10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Michael Kessens * | 35 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| David Robinson * | 33 | 7-10 | 4-6 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 12 | - |
| Jeylani Dublin * | 31 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Tristan Carey * | 27 | 5-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Karl Ziegler | 21 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Mark Parker | 9 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Havenstein | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stephen Shockley | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
UNC Asheville Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Nums | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Weeks * | 35 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 12 | - |
| Keith Hornsby * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-5 | 6-6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Atkinson * | 33 | 6-13 | 0-3 | 5-8 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| Trent Meyer * | 31 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Jon Nwannunu * | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 4 | - |
| D.J. Cunningham | 20 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Marcus Neely | 19 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Sam Hughes | 11 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter