๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Lafayette Leopards

Also known as: Lafayette Leopards
Program History

2026 Team Stats (30 games)

58.9
PPG
62.9
Opp
-4.0
Margin
38.3%
FG%
34.2%
3P%
77.7%
FT%
32.8
RPG
11.4
APG
13.8
TO
65.6
Est. poss./game
57.3
Adj PPG
67.6
Adj Opp PPG
#282
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 778 (#291) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 830 (#288) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More โ†’ 930 (#261) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More โ†’ -11.7 (#288) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More โ†’ -8.8 (#267) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.320 (#234) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -5.9 More โ†’ 0.320 (#234) NetEff -5.9
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -18.3 More โ†’ 0.108 (#296) AdjNet -18.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -18.8 More โ†’ 0.102 (#296) AdjNet -18.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 67.6 More โ†’ 0.282 (#282) AdjO 57.3 | AdjD 67.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 62.7 More โ†’ 0.386 (#253) AdjO 57.6 | AdjD 62.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.241 (#285) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.259 (#284) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 141 | GP 30 More โ†’ 863 (#266) RD 141 | GP 30

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Villanova Wildcats L 38 - 70
2025-11-06 @ Rider Broncs L 58 - 65
2025-11-09 vs Le Moyne Dolphins L 79 - 82
2025-11-13 vs Saint Peter's Peacocks W 76 - 58
2025-11-16 @ Saint Francis Red Wolves W 69 - 55
2025-11-20 @ Wagner Seahawks W 56 - 53
2025-11-25 @ Pittsburgh Panthers W 76 - 59
2025-11-30 @ NJIT Highlanders L 60 - 71
2025-12-04 @ Fairleigh Dickinson Knights L 61 - 69
2025-12-07 vs Marist Red Foxes L 76 - 79
2025-12-20 @ Rutgers Scarlet Knights L 45 - 54
2025-12-31 @ Colgate Raiders L 57 - 63
2026-01-03 vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds W 63 - 52
2026-01-07 @ Boston University Terriers W 65 - 64
2026-01-10 vs Navy Midshipmen L 58 - 97
2026-01-14 @ Bucknell Bison W 62 - 49
2026-01-17 @ Holy Cross Crusaders L 48 - 70
2026-01-21 vs Boston University Terriers L 55 - 66
2026-01-24 @ Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 48 - 62
2026-01-28 vs Bucknell Bison W 65 - 56
2026-01-31 vs American University Eagles L 60 - 70
2026-02-04 @ Navy Midshipmen L 46 - 62
2026-02-07 vs Army Black Knights L 50 - 62
2026-02-11 @ Loyola Maryland Greyhounds L 58 - 65
2026-02-14 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks W 73 - 59
2026-02-18 vs Holy Cross Crusaders L 44 - 53
2026-02-21 @ American University Eagles W 56 - 41
2026-02-28 @ Army Black Knights L 42 - 61
2026-03-04 vs Colgate Raiders W 66 - 55
2026-03-09 @ Army Black Knights L 57 - 65

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Teresa Kiewiet Teresa Kiewiet G 28 34.0 16.3 6.1 1.2 1.0 0.3 1.9 14.1 9.0 -121 27 -4.5 -5.4 42.8 36.6 80.4 -1.83 51.9 47.5
Talia Zurinskas Talia Zurinskas G 30 32.7 10.6 1.7 3.8 0.9 0.1 3.4 10.4 3.2 -27 29 -0.9 -1.2 34.8 31.3 82.4 0.71 45.2 39.0
Haylie Adamski Haylie Adamski G 30 27.5 9.4 2.9 0.8 1.2 0.2 1.2 8.2 5.1 -60 29 -2.1 -3.1 40.1 37.6 73.1 -2.62 54.6 53.2
Sauda Ntaconayigize Sauda Ntaconayigize G 25 33.7 9.4 3.0 1.3 0.9 0.4 1.3 8.4 5.4 -18 24 -0.8 -0.9 37.4 38.8 82.4 0.7 52.2 49.3
Tasha Chudy Tasha Chudy F 17 22.2 6.1 5.1 1.4 0.4 0.4 2.2 5.8 5.4 12 17 0.7 1.3 38.8 0.0 75.7 0.55 45.5 38.8
Maddison Krug Maddison Krug F 29 23.8 3.8 7.3 1.1 0.9 1.3 1.1 3.1 10.2 -96 28 -3.4 -6.0 49.5 0 59.4 -2.67 51.9 49.5
Rosie Scognamiglio Rosie Scognamiglio G 30 19.1 3.3 2.1 0.9 0.9 0.1 0.9 3.9 2.5 -48 29 -1.7 -3.6 30.8 29.3 100.0 -1.81 41.6 41.0
Haley Poser Haley Poser G 27 14.5 3.0 1.2 1.5 0.6 0.1 1.6 3.6 1.1 -109 26 -4.2 -12.1 22.4 21.4 75.0 -7.06 35.7 28.6
Emma Heaney Emma Heaney G 23 10.4 2.3 2.5 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 1.8 3.3 -24 20 -1.2 -4.2 48.8 0.0 72.2 -0.74 54.2 48.8
Brynn Beffert Brynn Beffert F 10 7.2 1.5 2.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 2.6 35 10 3.5 20.9 46.2 0 75.0 1.97 50.8 46.2
Jordyn Mays Jordyn Mays F 7 5.6 0.9 1.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 2.0 -10 6 -1.7 -14.3 40.0 0 100.0 -2.8 51.0 40.0
Sofia Valente Sofia Valente F 13 5.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.7 26 13 2.0 16.0 33.3 50.0 100.0 1.9 58.1 50.0
Kay Donahue Kay Donahue G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Emma Shields Emma Shields F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
M. Urmuleviciute M. Urmuleviciute F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1633 located field-goal attempts in 30 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Zurinskas20% Kiewiet29% Kiewiet47% Kiewiet50% Kiewiet50% Adamski36% Ntaconayigize33% Adamski27% Kiewiet33% Adamski37%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Zurinskas27% Zurinskas27% Kiewiet41% Kiewiet32% Kiewiet34% Adamski29% Kiewiet25% Adamski28% Zurinskas22% Adamski27%
Misses: who misses most here

Teresa KiewietHaylie AdamskiTalia ZurinskasSauda Ntaconayigize

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 94-164 57.3 188 Talia Zurinskas 20% (38 pts) Teresa Kiewiet 18% (34 pts) Talia Zurinskas 27% (19 misses) Teresa Kiewiet 20% (14 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 198-477 41.5 396 Teresa Kiewiet 29% (114 pts) Talia Zurinskas 17% (66 pts) Talia Zurinskas 27% (76 misses) Teresa Kiewiet 20% (57 misses)
Mid-range left 53-164 32.3 106 Teresa Kiewiet 47% (50 pts) Talia Zurinskas 28% (30 pts) Teresa Kiewiet 41% (46 misses) Talia Zurinskas 23% (26 misses)
Mid-range center 20-51 39.2 40 Teresa Kiewiet 50% (20 pts) Sauda Ntaconayigize 15% (6 pts) Teresa Kiewiet 32% (10 misses) Talia Zurinskas 19% (6 misses)
Mid-range right 46-145 31.7 92 Teresa Kiewiet 50% (46 pts) Talia Zurinskas 28% (26 pts) Teresa Kiewiet 34% (34 misses) Talia Zurinskas 20% (20 misses)
Left corner 3 22-78 28.2 66 Haylie Adamski 36% (24 pts) Sauda Ntaconayigize 32% (21 pts) Haylie Adamski 29% (16 misses) Sauda Ntaconayigize 27% (15 misses)
Right corner 3 21-41 51.2 63 Sauda Ntaconayigize 33% (21 pts) Haylie Adamski 29% (18 pts) Teresa Kiewiet 25% (5 misses) Haylie Adamski 20% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 83-243 34.2 249 Haylie Adamski 27% (66 pts) Sauda Ntaconayigize 22% (54 pts) Haylie Adamski 28% (44 misses) Sauda Ntaconayigize 21% (34 misses)
Above-break 3 center 30-93 32.3 90 Teresa Kiewiet 33% (30 pts) Haylie Adamski 23% (21 pts) Talia Zurinskas 22% (14 misses) Haylie Adamski 19% (12 misses)
Above-break 3 right 60-177 33.9 180 Haylie Adamski 37% (66 pts) Sauda Ntaconayigize 25% (45 pts) Haylie Adamski 27% (32 misses) Sauda Ntaconayigize 17% (20 misses)