Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.3% | 94.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +34.9 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 24.3% | 75.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +32 (70-38). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teresa Kiewiet | 35 | 5-14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 3 | -23.1 |
| Talia Zurinskas | 30 | 0-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -8 | -21.1 |
| Sauda Ntaconayigize | 29 | 3-7 | 3-7 | 6-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 11 | -12.7 |
| Tasha Chudy | 26 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | -14.8 |
| Maddison Krug | 22 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -13.6 |
| Rosie Scognamiglio | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | -14.3 |
| Haley Poser | 16 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | -10.4 |
| Haylie Adamski | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -4.0 |
| Emma Heaney | 6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -0.6 |
| Brynn Beffert | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.9 |
| Sofia Valente | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.9 |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kennedy Henry | 25 | 4-10 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 12 | +13.0 |
| Jasmine Bascoe | 23 | 4-14 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +8.8 |
| MD Ntambue | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +21.9 |
| Kelsey Joens | 22 | 4-10 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | +11.8 |
| Brooke Bender | 20 | 5-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 14 | +10.7 |
| Dani Ceseretti | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +7.7 |
| Brynn McCurry | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | +11.1 |
| Ryanne Allen | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | +8.8 |
| Denae Carter | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 11 | +5.4 |
| Kylee Watson | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +11.6 |
| Rachel Wirts | 9 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | -1.8 |
| Annie Welde | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter