Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.1% | 54.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.3% | 41.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.9% | 27.1% | -5.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.3% | 21.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -3 (53-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Zurinskas | 33 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -4 | +2.3 |
| T. Chudy | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | -13.2 |
| T. Kiewiet | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | -2.0 |
| S. Ntaconayigize | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | +3.0 |
| H. Adamski | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -12.0 |
| M. Krug | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | +2.9 |
| H. Poser | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -9.0 |
| R. Scognamiglio | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +8.3 |
| B. Beffert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6.5 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Foz | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +2.2 |
| I. Fernandez de Caleya | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +2.7 |
| M. Doreste | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -1.5 |
| L. Doyinsola Modesayor | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | -14.6 |
| M. Mpondo | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | +11.7 |
| P. Varela | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | +9.6 |
| A. Ricard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | -7.1 |
| H. Balde-Camara | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | +8.9 |
| S. San Francisco | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.7 |
| R. ElBarky | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +5.5 |
| A. Landy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +3.6 |
* = starter