Model Predictions
| Model | Lafayette Leopards | Wagner Seahawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.8% | 42.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.2% | 55.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 72.2% | 27.8% | -5.2 | ✓ (2.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 56.1% | 43.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 59.1% | 40.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Wagner Seahawks -3 (53-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Talia Zurinskas | 33 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | -4 | -1.7 |
| Tasha Chudy | 30 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7 | +6.0 |
| Teresa Kiewiet | 27 | 5-12 | 1-4 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 5 | +4.0 |
| Sauda Ntaconayigize | 26 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -4 | -6.3 |
| Haylie Adamski | 25 | 4-7 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 12 | +0.2 |
| Maddison Krug | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 10 | -7.1 |
| Haley Poser | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | -4.3 |
| Rosie Scognamiglio | 14 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -5.8 |
| Brynn Beffert | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +9.5 |
Wagner Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keana Foz | 36 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 10 | 6 | +2.8 |
| Maria Doreste | 26 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4 | -2.8 |
| Irene Fernandez de Caleya | 26 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | +5.2 |
| Lijirin Doyinsola Modesayor | 23 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 7-10 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 17 | 12 | +12.7 |
| Malia Mpondo | 20 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | -8.8 |
| Priscila Varela | 18 | 0-6 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | -6.6 |
| Angelie Ricard | 17 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +3.2 |
| Hawa Balde-Camara | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -7.1 |
| Saioa San Francisco | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | -1.6 |
| Raneem Elbarky | 7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -5.5 |
| Alivia Landy | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -3.2 |
* = starter