Indiana Fever
2004 Team Stats (29 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 861 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 962 (#11) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 952 (#11) | HCA +105 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -1.7 (#10) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -1.8 (#9) | HCA +3.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.439 (#10) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.424 (#10) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.423 (#11) | AdjNet -2.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.462 (#10) | AdjO 62.8 | AdjD 64.5 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.465 (#9) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 65.7 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.411 (#11) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.412 (#10) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 907 (#11) | RD 143 | GP 34 |
2004 Schedule & Results
2004 Roster
Counting stats use played regular-season games. PM and RAPM use their separate model samples; PM GP shows that sample's game count.
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings | G | 29 | 33.8 | 16.9 | 7.2 | 3.3 | 2.0 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 13.7 | 14.4 | 11 | 34 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 38.4 | 33.3 | 85.6 | 0.18 | 52.3 | 44.3 |
| Natalie Williams | C | 29 | 28.5 | 10.6 | 6.8 | 1.7 | 1.1 | 0.7 | 2.0 | 8.7 | 10.2 | -2 | 34 | -0.1 | -0.1 | 46.4 | 0.0 | 72.3 | -0.16 | 51.8 | 46.4 |
| Kelly Miller | G | 29 | 32.2 | 10.1 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 9.5 | 6.0 | 48 | 34 | 1.4 | 2.2 | 38.2 | 43.8 | 89.1 | 0.85 | 49.6 | 45.8 |
| Kelly Schumacher | F | 27 | 19.7 | 7.4 | 3.3 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 1.7 | 6.3 | 5.0 | 55 | 32 | 1.7 | 3.3 | 47.9 | 45.5 | 76.7 | 0.66 | 53.2 | 49.4 |
| Deanna Jackson | G | 29 | 23.0 | 6.6 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 7.1 | 3.6 | 21 | 34 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 37.2 | 0.0 | 73.1 | 0.36 | 41.8 | 37.2 |
| Stephanie White | G | 20 | 20.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 3.2 | 4.9 | 56 | 22 | 2.5 | 5.9 | 40.0 | 33.3 | 71.9 | 0.41 | 55.0 | 49.2 |
| Kristen Rasmussen | F | 28 | 20.0 | 4.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.8 | 5.1 | 32 | 33 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 41.9 | 40.0 | 80.6 | 0.59 | 51.0 | 45.7 |
| Coretta Brown | - | 22 | 15.6 | 3.9 | 1.5 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 4.3 | 1.8 | -22 | 26 | -0.8 | -1.9 | 33.0 | 35.4 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 42.8 | 42.0 |
| Niele Ivey | G | 13 | 12.7 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 1.3 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 2.7 | 1.9 | 84 | 15 | 5.6 | 15.7 | 31.4 | 34.8 | 66.7 | 1.5 | 45.2 | 42.9 |
| Ebony Hoffman | F | 26 | 11.4 | 2.1 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 2.8 | 2.6 | -33 | 30 | -1.1 | -4.7 | 32.4 | 29.4 | 100.0 | 0.1 | 36.7 | 35.8 |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | - | 10 | 7.6 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 25 | 10 | 2.5 | 8.7 | 26.3 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.22 | 28.9 | 26.3 |
| Kate Starbird | - | 8 | 6.9 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 55 | 12 | 4.6 | 14.8 | 8.3 | 0.0 | 100.0 | 0.84 | 15.5 | 8.3 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2004 Shot Zones
1999 located field-goal attempts in 34 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Tamika CatchingsKelly MillerNatalie WilliamsKelly SchumacherDeanna JacksonKristen Rasmussen
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 332-644 | 51.6 | 664 | Natalie Williams 28% (188 pts) | Tamika Catchings 21% (138 pts) | Natalie Williams 28% (86 misses) | Tamika Catchings 18% (57 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 113-338 | 33.4 | 226 | Kelly Schumacher 19% (44 pts) | Natalie Williams 19% (44 pts) | Deanna Jackson 21% (47 misses) | Natalie Williams 19% (42 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 73-227 | 32.2 | 146 | Tamika Catchings 23% (34 pts) | Kelly Miller 21% (30 pts) | Tamika Catchings 26% (40 misses) | Kelly Miller 19% (30 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 32-81 | 39.5 | 64 | Kelly Miller 25% (16 pts) | Tamika Catchings 25% (16 pts) | Tamika Catchings 24% (12 misses) | Kelly Miller 22% (11 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 70-230 | 30.4 | 140 | Kristen Rasmussen 26% (36 pts) | Kelly Schumacher 16% (22 pts) | Tamika Catchings 22% (36 misses) | Kelly Miller 18% (28 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 20-52 | 38.5 | 60 | Kelly Miller 45% (27 pts) | Tamika Catchings 20% (12 pts) | Kelly Miller 31% (10 misses) | Tamika Catchings 28% (9 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 7-29 | 24.1 | 21 | Tamika Catchings 71% (15 pts) | Coretta Brown 14% (3 pts) | Tamika Catchings 55% (12 misses) | Stephanie White 14% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 47-142 | 33.1 | 141 | Kelly Miller 34% (48 pts) | Tamika Catchings 34% (48 pts) | Tamika Catchings 34% (32 misses) | Kelly Miller 22% (21 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 36-99 | 36.4 | 108 | Kelly Miller 31% (33 pts) | Tamika Catchings 31% (33 pts) | Tamika Catchings 44% (28 misses) | Kelly Miller 24% (15 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 56-157 | 35.7 | 168 | Tamika Catchings 34% (57 pts) | Kelly Miller 20% (33 pts) | Tamika Catchings 30% (30 misses) | Kelly Miller 17% (17 misses) |