Model Predictions
| Model | Connecticut Sun | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.4% | 35.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 55.8% | 44.2% | -1.3 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.0% | 46.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever -4 (61-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Connecticut Sun
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nykesha Sales * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Taj McWilliams-Franklin * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 9 | - |
| Katie Douglas * | 31 | 3-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Lindsay Whalen * | 30 | 5-7 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | - |
| Wendy Palmer * | 28 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Asjha Jones | 9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jessica Brungo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Le'coe Willingham | 8 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Debbie Black | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jennifer Derevjanik | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Candace Futrell | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tamika Catchings * | 37 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 20 | 6 | - |
| Kelly Miller * | 36 | 4-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Stephanie White * | 35 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 27 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman | 20 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Niele Ivey | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter