Model Predictions
| Model | Los Angeles Sparks | Indiana Fever | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.3% | 76.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.7% | 69.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.8% | 72.2% | +5.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 36.2% | 63.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Indiana Fever +4 (71-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Los Angeles Sparks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lisa Leslie * | 34 | 1-8 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19 | - |
| Nikki Teasley * | 32 | 1-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | - |
| DeLisha Milton-Jones * | 30 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 5-11 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 11 | - |
| Mwadi Mabika * | 18 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Laura Macchi * | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Tamecka Dixon | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Tamika Whitmore | 22 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Christi Thomas | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Teresa Weatherspoon | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Doneeka Lewis | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Raffaella Masciadri | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Indiana Fever
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kelly Miller * | 29 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Tamika Catchings * | 27 | 8-13 | 3-6 | 5-7 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 24 | - |
| Deanna Jackson * | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Natalie Williams * | 23 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Ebony Hoffman * | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Astou Ndiaye-Diatta | 20 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Kristen Rasmussen | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Stephanie White | 16 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 6-9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Kelly Schumacher | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Coretta Brown | 13 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter