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Houston

Also known as: Houston Cougars, Houston
Program History

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 958 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 972 (#189) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 985 (#185) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ +0.2 (#164) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -0.6 (#178) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.519 (#157) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +0.7 More โ†’ 0.521 (#160) AdjNet +0.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +0.8 More โ†’ 0.524 (#160) AdjNet +0.8
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 69.3 More โ†’ 0.503 (#169) AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 69.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.473 (#195) AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.497 (#168) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.491 (#174) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 139 | GP 27 More โ†’ 1008 (#167) RD 139 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 vs Grambling Tigers W 88 - 42
2011-11-14 vs Utah Valley Wolverines W 84 - 71
2011-11-18 @ Arkansas Razorbacks W 87 - 78
2011-11-22 vs Oakland Golden Grizzlies L 74 - 76
2011-11-26 vs TCU Horned Frogs L 80 - 81
2011-11-29 vs LSU Tigers L 58 - 59
2011-12-03 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders W 87 - 66
2011-12-06 @ Texas State Bobcats L 78 - 81
2011-12-17 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 74 - 79
2011-12-20 vs UTSA Roadrunners W 77 - 75
2011-12-21 vs Rogers State Hillcats W 90 - 80
2011-12-28 vs North Carolina A&T Aggies W 71 - 67
2011-12-30 vs Texas State Bobcats W 94 - 71
2012-01-04 vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane W 70 - 69
2012-01-07 @ UTEP Miners L 50 - 70
2012-01-11 @ UCF Knights L 63 - 74
2012-01-14 vs Memphis Tigers L 55 - 89
2012-01-18 @ SMU Mustangs L 54 - 70
2012-01-28 vs UTEP Miners W 81 - 76
2012-02-01 @ UAB Blazers L 69 - 80
2012-02-04 @ Tulane Green Wave L 54 - 75
2012-02-08 vs Rice Owls L 71 - 79
2012-02-18 vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 73 - 71
2012-02-22 @ Marshall Thundering Herd L 58 - 66
2012-02-25 vs SMU Mustangs W 62 - 59
2012-02-29 vs Tulane Green Wave W 82 - 53
2012-03-03 @ Rice Owls W 76 - 75
2012-03-07 @ UTEP Miners L 62 - 67

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathon Simmons Jonathon Simmons - 28 29.9 14.6 4.9 2.1 0.8 0.4 3.3 2.1 17.3 - - - - 49.2 8.3 70.0 - 283.2 50.0
Alandise Harris Alandise Harris F 28 29.8 13.2 6.6 1.2 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.6 18.4 -29 23 -1.3 -1.7 52.7 57.1 63.0 -2.26 189.2 55.4
Joe Young Joe Young G 28 30.0 11.5 3.4 2.3 0.9 0.2 1.9 2.5 14.0 -15 23 -0.7 -0.9 31.9 37.1 92.3 -0.05 216.1 41.3
TaShawn Thomas TaShawn Thomas F 28 28.5 10.6 8.2 1.1 0.8 2.2 1.4 2.0 19.6 46 23 2.0 3.0 52.6 0.0 50.0 3.53 242.7 52.6
Kirk Van Slyke Kirk Van Slyke F 25 12.2 6.2 2.4 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.5 5.6 -28 21 -1.3 -5.3 50.8 42.1 80.8 -1.12 103.4 57.1
Darian Thibodeaux Darian Thibodeaux G 28 29.4 5.9 3.1 2.6 0.7 0.2 1.2 1.2 10.1 19 23 0.8 1.3 30.3 28.6 81.8 -0.27 218.0 39.4
J.J. Thompson J.J. Thompson G 28 24.5 5.8 1.7 2.6 0.8 0.1 2.1 1.9 7.0 -70 23 -3.0 -5.3 39.6 33.3 80.0 -1.29 136.7 44.3
Leon Gibson Leon Gibson F 25 11.9 4.2 3.1 0.4 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 6.9 -39 21 -1.9 -6.9 46.7 0.0 66.7 -2.05 294.8 46.7
Mikhail McLean Mikhail McLean F 5 13.0 2.2 3.0 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 0.6 4.2 - - - - 0.0 0 100.0 -1.39 141.8 0.0
LeRon Barnes LeRon Barnes G 5 13.2 2.2 2.8 1.4 0.6 0.2 1.0 0.0 6.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.73 0 0
Jimmie Jones Jimmie Jones G 14 7.6 1.0 0.2 0.9 0.6 0.0 0.9 0.0 1.8 -2 14 -0.1 -0.7 0 0 0 -0.92 0 0
Donald Brooks Donald Brooks G 4 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 - - - - 0 0 0 -0.39 0 0
Rakim Stevenson Rakim Stevenson - 3 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG