Houston
Model Outputs
2011-2012
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 958 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 972 (#189) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 985 (#185) | HCA +101 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | +0.2 (#164) | HCA +3.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -0.6 (#178) | HCA +3.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.519 (#157) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.521 (#160) | AdjNet +0.7 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.524 (#160) | AdjNet +0.8 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.503 (#169) | AdjO 69.4 | AdjD 69.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.473 (#195) | AdjO 67.2 | AdjD 68.4 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.497 (#168) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.491 (#174) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 1008 (#167) | RD 139 | GP 27 |
2012 Schedule & Results
2012 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathon Simmons
|
- | 28 | 29.9 | 14.6 | 4.9 | 2.1 | 0.8 | 0.4 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 17.3 | - | - | - | - | 49.2 | 8.3 | 70.0 | - | 283.2 | 50.0 |
Alandise Harris
|
F | 28 | 29.8 | 13.2 | 6.6 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 2.6 | 18.4 | -29 | 23 | -1.3 | -1.7 | 52.7 | 57.1 | 63.0 | -2.26 | 189.2 | 55.4 |
Joe Young
|
G | 28 | 30.0 | 11.5 | 3.4 | 2.3 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 1.9 | 2.5 | 14.0 | -15 | 23 | -0.7 | -0.9 | 31.9 | 37.1 | 92.3 | -0.05 | 216.1 | 41.3 |
TaShawn Thomas
|
F | 28 | 28.5 | 10.6 | 8.2 | 1.1 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.4 | 2.0 | 19.6 | 46 | 23 | 2.0 | 3.0 | 52.6 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 3.53 | 242.7 | 52.6 |
Kirk Van Slyke
|
F | 25 | 12.2 | 6.2 | 2.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.5 | 5.6 | -28 | 21 | -1.3 | -5.3 | 50.8 | 42.1 | 80.8 | -1.12 | 103.4 | 57.1 |
Darian Thibodeaux
|
G | 28 | 29.4 | 5.9 | 3.1 | 2.6 | 0.7 | 0.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 10.1 | 19 | 23 | 0.8 | 1.3 | 30.3 | 28.6 | 81.8 | -0.27 | 218.0 | 39.4 |
J.J. Thompson
|
G | 28 | 24.5 | 5.8 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 2.1 | 1.9 | 7.0 | -70 | 23 | -3.0 | -5.3 | 39.6 | 33.3 | 80.0 | -1.29 | 136.7 | 44.3 |
Leon Gibson
|
F | 25 | 11.9 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 6.9 | -39 | 21 | -1.9 | -6.9 | 46.7 | 0.0 | 66.7 | -2.05 | 294.8 | 46.7 |
Mikhail McLean
|
F | 5 | 13.0 | 2.2 | 3.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 4.2 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 100.0 | -1.39 | 141.8 | 0.0 |
LeRon Barnes
|
G | 5 | 13.2 | 2.2 | 2.8 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 6.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.73 | 0 | 0 |
Jimmie Jones
|
G | 14 | 7.6 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 1.8 | -2 | 14 | -0.1 | -0.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.92 | 0 | 0 |
Donald Brooks
|
G | 4 | 2.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -0.39 | 0 | 0 |
Rakim Stevenson
|
- | 3 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG