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2011-11-18

Model Predictions

Model Houston Cougars Arkansas Razorbacks Spread Result
Elo 78.6% 21.4% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 55.7% 44.3% -1.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 65.8% 34.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.3% 47.7% -
Log Adjusted 52.1% 47.9% -

Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks -9 (78-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Thibodeaux * 36 3-6 2-5 2-2 3 3 0 0 2 10 8 -
J. Young * 32 2-11 1-5 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 7 -1 -
T. Thomas * 30 3-7 0-0 1-1 10 0 0 2 4 7 8 -
J. Simmons * 25 6-8 0-1 4-5 7 3 0 0 3 16 15 -
A. Harris * 23 6-8 1-1 5-8 6 0 1 2 6 18 13 -
J.J. Thompson 26 3-7 1-2 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 10 8 -
K. Van Slyke 18 8-10 2-2 1-1 5 3 0 2 1 19 18 -
M. McLean 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 0 0 -

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Scott Jr. * 35 4-10 0-3 0-2 4 2 2 0 3 8 3 -
M. Wade * 34 1-5 1-3 5-5 3 4 4 1 1 8 14 -
J. Nobles * 33 5-11 2-5 5-8 5 2 4 1 0 17 18 -
M. Sanchez * 23 4-7 0-0 3-5 3 0 0 1 0 11 8 -
M. Waithe * 14 1-4 0-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
R. Madden 26 6-13 0-1 1-5 4 1 0 2 0 13 7 -
B. Young 20 5-10 1-4 4-4 3 0 1 1 4 15 6 -
H. Mickelson 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 2 2 -
D. Abron 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -

* = starter