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High Point Panthers

Also known as: High Point Panthers
Program History

2026 Team Stats (33 games)

73.8
PPG
60.1
Opp
+13.7
Margin
44.5%
FG%
33.1%
3P%
72.3%
FT%
36.0
RPG
14.9
APG
14.6
TO
72.9
Est. poss./game
66.9
Adj PPG
65.5
Adj Opp PPG
#145
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1098 (#131) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1158 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +106 elo More → 1089 (#78) HCA +106 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.4 More → +0.5 (#156) HCA +2.4
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → -1.6 (#180) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.875 (#35) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +15.2 More → 0.875 (#35) NetEff +15.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +2.6 More → 0.575 (#146) AdjNet +2.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +2.3 More → 0.567 (#148) AdjNet +2.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 65.5 More → 0.532 (#145) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 65.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 63.7 More → 0.562 (#125) AdjO 66.4 | AdjD 63.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.587 (#136) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.593 (#133) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 128 | GP 31 More → 1142 (#90) RD 128 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 vs Johnson C. Smith Golden Bulls W 84 - 26
2025-11-08 vs Wofford Terriers W 81 - 73
2025-11-12 vs Merrimack Warriors W 82 - 69
2025-11-16 vs East Carolina Pirates W 84 - 68
2025-11-19 vs Vermont Catamounts W 71 - 65
2025-11-23 @ Houston Cougars L 57 - 67
2025-11-28 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 77 - 62
2025-11-29 @ Charleston Cougars W 70 - 59
2025-12-01 vs UVA Wise Cavaliers W 101 - 57
2025-12-05 @ South Carolina State Lady Bulldogs W 64 - 44
2025-12-14 vs North Carolina Central Eagles W 82 - 60
2025-12-17 @ Davidson Wildcats L 65 - 76
2025-12-20 vs Yale Bulldogs W 85 - 83
2025-12-31 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 78 - 51
2026-01-03 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 72 - 58
2026-01-07 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose W 76 - 43
2026-01-10 vs Radford Highlanders W 78 - 40
2026-01-17 @ Longwood Lancers W 68 - 54
2026-01-21 vs Winthrop Eagles W 74 - 60
2026-01-23 vs Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 73 - 44
2026-01-28 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 87 - 66
2026-02-01 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose W 70 - 41
2026-02-04 @ Winthrop Eagles W 88 - 74
2026-02-07 @ Radford Highlanders L 57 - 72
2026-02-11 vs Longwood Lancers L 73 - 75
2026-02-14 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 64 - 48
2026-02-18 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 60 - 55
2026-02-21 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 83 - 53
2026-02-28 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans L 50 - 55
2026-03-05 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 71 - 53
2026-03-07 vs Winthrop Eagles W 79 - 63
2026-03-08 vs Radford Highlanders W 71 - 67
2026-03-21 @ Vanderbilt Commodores L 61 - 102

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Macy Spencer Macy Spencer G 33 31.7 18.6 3.2 2.3 1.4 0.6 2.6 14.2 9.3 363 30 12.1 15.3 42.8 39.6 81.2 3.06 58.3 53.9
Aaliyah Collins Aaliyah Collins G 31 28.8 14.9 2.4 4.3 2.4 0.8 3.5 12.0 9.3 332 29 11.4 16.4 49.5 30.8 67.3 2.62 54.9 52.2
Nevaeh Zavala Nevaeh Zavala F 31 29.3 8.9 4.5 1.3 0.8 0.4 1.4 7.0 7.5 306 28 10.9 15.1 50.2 32.6 71.8 1.12 58.7 56.9
A. Häger A. Häger G 33 24.2 7.3 5.1 1.2 0.9 0.6 1.4 7.1 6.7 222 30 7.4 12.4 36.5 34.6 70.6 -1.16 48.6 46.6
Chana Paxixe Chana Paxixe G 33 19.9 6.5 4.9 1.4 1.3 0.2 1.3 4.5 8.5 217 30 7.2 15.0 48.3 25.0 71.3 1.27 57.5 51.4
Peyton Gerdes Peyton Gerdes F 32 17.4 6.3 2.7 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.8 4.8 6.2 163 29 5.6 13.1 50.7 24.1 66.7 0.58 57.7 54.9
Lexi Fleming Lexi Fleming G 4 24.0 6.0 3.2 2.8 1.2 0.2 1.2 6.0 6.2 - - - - 29.2 21.1 75.0 0.52 43.6 37.5
Dom Nesland Dom Nesland G 30 25.9 6.0 4.9 1.9 0.9 0.1 1.5 5.9 6.4 166 27 6.1 10.0 36.7 25.0 75.0 -2.47 46.1 41.8
Brecken Snotherly Brecken Snotherly G 33 22.1 5.2 4.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 1.1 4.4 6.7 232 30 7.7 14.3 46.9 28.1 71.8 0.5 53.3 50.0
Sky Donaie Sky Donaie F 16 4.1 1.2 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.9 -18 14 -1.3 -15.0 26.3 16.7 64.3 -3.88 39.7 28.9
Kenaya Klintman Kenaya Klintman G 16 4.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.2 -16 15 -1.1 -10.9 46.2 57.1 50.0 -4.43 61.2 61.5
Dakota Phillips Dakota Phillips G 13 2.7 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.2 0.2 -13 12 -1.1 -15.8 33.3 50.0 75.0 -3.21 63.0 50.0
Cheyenne Brand Cheyenne Brand G 9 2.7 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.3 0.4 -15 8 -1.9 -24.4 33.3 0.0 33.3 -3.03 35.5 33.3
Kelsey Miller Kelsey Miller C 10 2.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.5 -9 8 -1.1 -17.1 0.0 0.0 100.0 -2.41 25.8 0.0
Sanai Cole Sanai Cole G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
Olivia Medford Olivia Medford G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG

2025-2026 Shot Zones

1971 located field-goal attempts in 33 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).

Collins29% Collins27% Spencer55% Spencer40% Spencer67% Häger39% Häger25% Spencer43% Häger34% Spencer43%
Points: who the team's points here most likely come from
Collins32% Collins27% Spencer48% Spencer47% Spencer40% Häger26% Spencer15% Spencer39% Spencer30% Spencer28%
Misses: who misses most here

Macy SpencerAaliyah CollinsA. Häger

Zone FGM-FGA FG% Pts Top scorer Runner-up Most misses Runner-up
Restricted area 291-443 65.7 582 Aaliyah Collins 29% (168 pts) Nevaeh Zavala 17% (98 pts) Aaliyah Collins 32% (48 misses) Nevaeh Zavala 11% (17 misses)
Paint (non-RA) 269-581 46.3 538 Aaliyah Collins 27% (146 pts) Macy Spencer 16% (84 pts) Aaliyah Collins 27% (85 misses) Macy Spencer 15% (46 misses)
Mid-range left 29-79 36.7 58 Macy Spencer 55% (32 pts) Aaliyah Collins 10% (6 pts) Macy Spencer 48% (24 misses) A. Häger 14% (7 misses)
Mid-range center 10-25 40.0 20 Macy Spencer 40% (8 pts) Aaliyah Collins 20% (4 pts) Macy Spencer 47% (7 misses) A. Häger 20% (3 misses)
Mid-range right 36-79 45.6 72 Macy Spencer 67% (48 pts) Aaliyah Collins 8% (6 pts) Macy Spencer 40% (17 misses) A. Häger 12% (5 misses)
Left corner 3 23-77 29.9 69 A. Häger 39% (27 pts) Macy Spencer 26% (18 pts) A. Häger 26% (14 misses) Macy Spencer 15% (8 misses)
Right corner 3 8-34 23.5 24 A. Häger 25% (6 pts) Brecken Snotherly 12% (3 pts) Macy Spencer 15% (4 misses) Nevaeh Zavala 15% (4 misses)
Above-break 3 left 99-286 34.6 297 Macy Spencer 43% (129 pts) A. Häger 14% (42 pts) Macy Spencer 39% (72 misses) A. Häger 15% (28 misses)
Above-break 3 center 38-132 28.8 114 A. Häger 34% (39 pts) Macy Spencer 29% (33 pts) Macy Spencer 30% (28 misses) A. Häger 14% (13 misses)
Above-break 3 right 75-235 31.9 225 Macy Spencer 43% (96 pts) A. Häger 11% (24 pts) Macy Spencer 28% (45 misses) A. Häger 19% (30 misses)