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2025-12-17

Model Predictions

Model High Point Panthers Davidson Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 29.4% 70.6% - βœ“
Bradley-Terry 42.8% 57.2% - βœ“
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.4 βœ“ (1.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.3% 50.7% - βœ“
Efficiency 63.5% 36.5% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 7.9% 92.1% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 7.2% 92.8% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 25.6% 74.4% - βœ“

Actual: Davidson Wildcats +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

High Point Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Nevaeh Zavala 35 6-11 2-4 1-1 1 0 1 0 2 15 4 -2.1
Aaliyah Collins 33 3-9 0-1 3-6 5 9 3 1 6 9 12 -0.6
Dom Nesland 31 3-9 2-3 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 8 2 -14.3
Macy Spencer 29 6-10 1-2 6-9 1 1 2 0 4 19 9 +6.9
Peyton Gerdes 24 0-3 0-2 3-4 4 2 3 1 1 3 9 -11.2
Brecken Snotherly 22 4-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 5 -7.7
A. HΓ€ger 19 0-1 0-1 0-0 4 1 0 0 0 0 4 +0.1
Chana Paxixe 7 1-5 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -9.2

Davidson Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Charlise Dunn 39 8-17 0-5 2-2 10 4 7 0 3 18 19 +14.8
Katie Donovan 37 4-6 3-4 6-6 5 1 1 0 2 17 16 +7.7
Ines Garcia Monje 32 9-10 1-1 1-2 9 5 1 1 8 20 18 +4.5
Kyra Bruyndoncx 32 3-8 1-4 1-2 3 1 0 0 2 8 2 +3.2
Jasmine Timmerson 19 2-5 1-2 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 5 3 +7.7
Elena Alvarez Castellanos 18 1-4 1-1 1-2 0 3 1 0 1 4 3 +4.8
Candice Lienafa 11 1-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 0 0 4 4 0 +5.1
Edina Strausz 6 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 1 1 0 1 +5.1
Emilie Bessell 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1.9
Sienna Dauer 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.2

* = starter