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Green Bay

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Green Bay Phoenix, Green Bay
Program History
Coach: Brian Wardle

2012 Team Stats (3 games)

57.0
PPG
75.7
Opp
-18.7
Margin
39.4%
FG%
31.9%
3P%
59.1%
FT%
33.0
RPG
10.7
APG
18.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.9
Adj PPG
65.9
Adj Opp PPG
#181
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1064 (#139) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1033 (#143) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More → 1039 (#113) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More → -0.8 (#176) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More → -0.7 (#180) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.360 (#237) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.432 (#186) AdjNet -2.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -2.4 More → 0.430 (#185) AdjNet -2.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 65.9 More → 0.478 (#181) AdjO 64.9 | AdjD 65.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.4 More → 0.481 (#183) AdjO 65.6 | AdjD 66.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.508 (#161) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.509 (#160) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 161 | GP 27 More → 1049 (#138) RD 161 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-11 vs University of Mary Marauders W 94 - 55
2011-11-13 @ Duquesne Dukes L 66 - 84
2011-11-16 @ North Dakota State Bison L 61 - 65
2011-11-19 vs Wyoming Cowboys W 52 - 44
2011-11-21 @ Indiana State Sycamores L 56 - 57
2011-11-25 @ Virginia Cavaliers L 42 - 68
2011-12-01 vs UIC Flames W 71 - 68
2011-12-03 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 57 - 47
2011-12-07 @ Wisconsin Badgers L 42 - 70
2011-12-10 @ Marquette Golden Eagles L 61 - 79
2011-12-13 vs Michigan Tech Huskies W 69 - 61
2011-12-22 vs Idaho Vandals W 63 - 61
2011-12-29 @ Butler Bulldogs L 49 - 53
2011-12-31 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 87 - 90
2012-01-07 @ Milwaukee Panthers L 63 - 64
2012-01-14 vs Wright State Raiders W 57 - 56
2012-01-20 @ Cleveland State Vikings L 68 - 78
2012-01-22 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 47 - 77
2012-01-26 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 75 - 60
2012-01-28 vs Butler Bulldogs W 80 - 68
2012-02-04 vs Milwaukee Panthers L 75 - 81
2012-02-10 @ Wright State Raiders W 53 - 48
2012-02-12 @ Detroit Mercy Titans L 74 - 77
2012-02-14 vs Youngstown State Penguins W 71 - 65
2012-02-18 vs Eastern Michigan Eagles W 54 - 49
2012-02-21 vs Cleveland State Vikings W 71 - 67
2012-02-23 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers W 73 - 70
2012-02-25 @ UIC Flames W 71 - 63
2012-02-28 @ Youngstown State Penguins L 60 - 77

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Alec Brown Alec Brown F 28 31.6 13.5 8.1 0.8 0.9 3.0 2.0 3.5 20.8 -78 27 -2.9 -4.0 45.4 33.3 68.6 -2.39 168.1 46.4
Keifer Sykes Keifer Sykes G 28 29.8 11.4 2.6 3.4 0.8 0.1 2.3 3.2 12.8 -52 27 -1.9 -2.9 52.2 37.5 63.4 -0.65 147.6 53.9
Brennan Cougill Brennan Cougill F-C 28 26.8 9.2 7.1 2.0 0.9 0.9 2.4 1.8 15.9 -19 27 -0.7 -1.2 46.9 37.5 88.9 1.78 225.8 53.1
Ken Cerroni Ken Cerroni G 28 24.4 8.1 1.3 1.4 0.7 0.0 1.1 2.1 8.3 14 27 0.5 0.9 45.0 48.1 85.7 2.98 171.6 65.8
Steve Baker Steve Baker G 28 25.0 7.2 3.0 1.5 1.0 0.1 1.6 1.9 9.2 -35 27 -1.3 -2.3 38.5 27.3 100.0 0.16 183.9 44.2
Daniel Turner Daniel Turner F 13 20.9 4.8 5.0 0.9 0.5 0.2 2.0 0.7 8.8 -59 11 -5.4 -11.3 44.4 0.0 100.0 -1.93 288.1 44.4
Jarvis Williams Jarvis Williams F 7 17.3 4.7 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.0 2.7 0.0 5.4 -26 6 -4.3 -11.0 0 0 0 -2.71 0 0
Terry Johnson Terry Johnson G 28 15.0 3.8 1.1 1.0 0.5 0.0 1.0 0.9 4.5 -14 27 -0.5 -1.6 34.6 37.5 66.7 1.42 169.4 40.4
Aaron Armstead Aaron Armstead G 28 14.3 3.1 1.6 0.9 0.4 0.1 1.0 1.0 4.0 -89 27 -3.3 -10.4 24.1 8.3 90.0 -3.43 130.2 25.9
Greg Mays Greg Mays F 25 9.5 2.4 2.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.2 3.2 -37 25 -1.5 -6.5 41.4 0 43.8 -2.3 84.6 41.4
Josh Humphrey Josh Humphrey G 20 12.7 1.2 2.3 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.8 -39 20 -1.9 -6.7 26.1 0.0 55.6 -3.91 46.4 26.1
Clayton Heuer Clayton Heuer F 13 3.8 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.3 1.2 0 12 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 -0.41 112.5 0.0
Eric Valentin Eric Valentin G 8 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.6 -0.1 -6 7 -0.9 -14.2 20.0 25.0 0 -0.56 30.0 30.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG