Model Predictions
| Model | Green Bay Phoenix | Cleveland State Vikings | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.4% | 68.6% | +4.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 12.5% | 87.5% | +10.7 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.1% | 69.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 11.4% | 88.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 11.3% | 88.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Cleveland State Vikings +10 (78-68). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Green Bay Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keifer Sykes * | 35 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7-12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Steve Baker * | 31 | 5-10 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| Brennan Cougill * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Alec Brown * | 27 | 4-7 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Kam Cerroni * | 27 | 5-8 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 11 | - |
| Josh Humphrey | 19 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Greg Mays | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Armstead | 10 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Terry Johnson | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Clayton Heuer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Eric Valentin | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Cleveland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tim Kamczyc * | 38 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Jeremy Montgomery * | 36 | 4-13 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Trey Harmon * | 29 | 6-10 | 4-6 | 3-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| D'Aundray Brown * | 29 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Aaron Pogue * | 7 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Anton Grady | 21 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 15 | - |
| Marlin Mason | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Ludovic Ndaye | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Charlie Lee | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Devon Long | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ike Nwamu | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter