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Georgia State

Also known as: Georgia State Panthers
Program History

2016 Team Stats (1 games)

61.0
PPG
63.0
Opp
-2.0
Margin
46.0%
FG%
46.7%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
24.0
RPG
12.0
APG
12.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
64.6
Adj PPG
65.8
Adj Opp PPG
#185
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 958 (#195) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 996 (#178) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More โ†’ 964 (#221) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -1.4 (#188) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -1.7 (#190) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.473 (#184) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#182) AdjNet -1.4
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.4 More โ†’ 0.459 (#182) AdjNet -1.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 65.8 More โ†’ 0.473 (#185) AdjO 64.6 | AdjD 65.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 66.8 More โ†’ 0.477 (#185) AdjO 65.8 | AdjD 66.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.449 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.450 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 133 | GP 28 More โ†’ 934 (#218) RD 133 | GP 28

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 vs Middle Georgia Knights W 73 - 54
2015-11-19 vs Emmanuel (MA) Lions W 77 - 58
2015-11-25 @ Ole Miss Rebels L 59 - 68
2015-11-27 vs IU Indianapolis Jaguars W 78 - 72
2015-12-01 @ UAB Blazers L 57 - 64
2015-12-04 @ Wright State Raiders W 59 - 46
2015-12-12 vs Old Dominion Monarchs W 68 - 64
2015-12-19 @ Southern Miss Golden Eagles W 66 - 46
2015-12-22 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders W 64 - 62
2015-12-30 @ UT Arlington Mavericks L 70 - 85
2016-01-02 @ Texas State Bobcats W 58 - 46
2016-01-07 vs Troy Trojans W 72 - 68
2016-01-09 vs South Alabama Jaguars W 70 - 55
2016-01-14 vs UL Monroe Warhawks W 65 - 51
2016-01-16 vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns L 54 - 87
2016-01-19 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 69 - 66
2016-01-21 @ App State Mountaineers L 67 - 76
2016-01-28 @ Arkansas State Red Wolves L 69 - 75
2016-01-30 @ Little Rock Trojans L 53 - 63
2016-02-04 vs Texas State Bobcats W 59 - 56
2016-02-06 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 69 - 90
2016-02-11 @ South Alabama Jaguars L 78 - 79
2016-02-13 @ Troy Trojans L 53 - 54
2016-02-18 vs Little Rock Trojans L 49 - 57
2016-02-20 vs Arkansas State Red Wolves W 69 - 61
2016-02-23 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 52 - 54
2016-02-27 vs App State Mountaineers W 83 - 70
2016-03-03 @ Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns W 72 - 69
2016-03-05 @ UL Monroe Warhawks L 78 - 91
2016-03-10 vs Texas State Bobcats L 61 - 63

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jeremy Hollowell Jeremy Hollowell F 1 36.0 16.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 16.0 5.0 47 23 2.0 2.8 37.5 20.0 75.0 2.13 45.0 40.6
Kevin Ware Kevin Ware G 22 35.1 10.4 3.4 3.0 1.2 0.3 2.5 0.8 14.9 1 23 0.0 0.1 27.8 0.0 92.9 -1.8 471.9 27.8
Markus Crider Markus Crider F 22 29.7 9.5 5.2 1.1 0.8 0.6 1.4 0.8 15.0 22 23 1.0 1.4 44.4 0 77.8 0.62 478.1 44.4
Isaiah Williams Isaiah Williams G 22 25.7 9.1 2.3 2.7 0.8 0.0 1.5 1.0 12.5 36 23 1.6 2.9 36.4 44.4 66.7 1.92 431.0 45.5
Jeff Thomas Jeff Thomas F 22 16.4 6.0 1.9 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.1 7.1 39 23 1.7 4.6 58.3 57.1 100.0 2.8 265.3 75.0
T.J. Shipes T.J. Shipes F 22 26.1 5.6 5.1 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.7 10.9 -20 23 -0.9 -1.4 50.0 0 60.0 -1.3 340.7 50.0
Isaiah Dennis Isaiah Dennis G 21 16.1 3.2 1.3 1.6 0.7 0.3 1.1 0.7 5.4 -21 23 -0.9 -2.3 71.4 0 0.0 -1.22 204.3 71.4
Austin Donaldson Austin Donaldson G 12 11.0 3.2 1.7 1.2 0.8 0.0 1.2 0.2 5.5 30 13 2.3 12.8 33.3 0 0 2.12 650.0 33.3
Jordan Session Jordan Session F 20 9.8 2.8 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.7 0.2 4.2 27 22 1.2 6.2 40.0 0.0 0 -0.38 550.0 40.0
Malik Benlevi Malik Benlevi F 20 7.5 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.1 2.6 -44 22 -2.0 -12.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.44 750.0 0.0
Jalen Brown Jalen Brown F 7 2.6 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9 -13 9 -1.4 -33.4 0 0 0 -3.0 0 0
Carter Cagle Carter Cagle G 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Alario Harris Alario Harris - 2 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG