Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Georgia State Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.4% | 28.6% | -8.2 | ✓ (0.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 80.1% | 19.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.7% | 21.3% | -7.2 | ✓ (0.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.3% | 13.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.8% | 35.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Georgia State Panthers -8 (49-57). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Johnson Jr. * | 34 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Roger Woods * | 34 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Josh Hagins * | 32 | 2-11 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | - |
| Lis Shoshi * | 31 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Mareik Isom * | 19 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Jermaine Ruttley | 21 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Jackson | 15 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Green | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Kemy Osse | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Stetson Billings | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Maurius Hill | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ware * | 35 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Jeremy Hollowell * | 33 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 6-6 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Markus Crider * | 33 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Jordan Session * | 25 | 5-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Isaiah Williams * | 25 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Shipes | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Austin Donaldson | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Malik Benlevi | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeff Thomas | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter