Model Predictions
| Model | Georgia State Panthers | Arkansas State Red Wolves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.3% | 31.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.7% | 37.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 56.8% | 43.2% | -1.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.2% | 42.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 70.1% | 29.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Arkansas State Red Wolves +6 (75-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Georgia State Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Ware * | 41 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| T.J. Shipes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Isaiah Dennis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Jeff Thomas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Markus Crider | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Isaiah Williams | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jordan Session | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Malik Benlevi | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Arkansas State Red Wolves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Livingston * | 43 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 32 | - |
| Devin Carter * | 42 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Frederic Dure * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 19 | - |
| Sean Gardner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Charles Waters * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Josh Pierre | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Nouhoum Bocoum | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Christian Davis | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
* = starter