๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History

2020 Team Stats (2 games)

63.5
PPG
77.5
Opp
-14.0
Margin
37.7%
FG%
26.1%
3P%
78.4%
FT%
28.0
RPG
9.0
APG
11.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.4
Adj PPG
70.6
Adj Opp PPG
#218
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2019-2020
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 972 (#192) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 948 (#218) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 1063 (#97) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -3.8 (#221) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -2.0 (#202) HCA +3.1
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.511 (#176) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.307 (#232) AdjNet -7.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.1 More โ†’ 0.305 (#233) AdjNet -7.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 70.6 More โ†’ 0.428 (#218) AdjO 67.4 | AdjD 70.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 68.4 More โ†’ 0.534 (#147) AdjO 69.9 | AdjD 68.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.448 (#204) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.469 (#192) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 87 | GP 30 More โ†’ 946 (#209) RD 87 | GP 30

2020 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2019-11-05 vs Furman Paladins L 63 - 70
2019-11-09 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 59 - 71
2019-11-15 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 61 - 77
2019-11-19 @ Wichita State Shockers L 52 - 74
2019-11-22 @ South Carolina Gamecocks L 69 - 74
2019-11-26 vs UT Martin Skyhawks W 81 - 64
2019-11-27 @ Northern Colorado Bears W 67 - 62
2019-12-03 vs Coker Cobras W 73 - 59
2019-12-07 @ Wofford Terriers L 77 - 81
2019-12-13 @ Kennesaw State Owls L 61 - 85
2019-12-15 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 46 - 73
2019-12-19 vs Bob Jones Bruins W 94 - 70
2020-01-02 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 67 - 65
2020-01-04 vs Presbyterian Blue Hose L 62 - 68
2020-01-08 vs Radford Highlanders L 64 - 67
2020-01-11 @ Winthrop Eagles L 95 - 99
2020-01-18 vs South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 83 - 67
2020-01-20 vs Hampton Pirates - Preview
2020-01-23 @ High Point Panthers W 79 - 76
2020-01-25 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 83 - 92
2020-01-30 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 70 - 56
2020-02-01 vs Longwood Lancers L 81 - 84
2020-02-06 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 61 - 65
2020-02-08 @ South Carolina Upstate Spartans W 88 - 57
2020-02-10 vs High Point Panthers W 86 - 55
2020-02-13 vs Winthrop Eagles W 74 - 70
2020-02-20 @ Hampton Pirates L 77 - 87
2020-02-22 vs Campbell Fighting Camels W 73 - 61
2020-02-24 vs Hampton Pirates W 81 - 67
2020-02-27 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 83 - 74
2020-02-29 @ Radford Highlanders W 70 - 62
2020-03-05 vs UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 72 - 62
2020-03-06 @ Winthrop Eagles L 66 - 78

2020 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jaheam Cornwall Jaheam Cornwall G 2 32.0 15.0 1.5 1.5 1.0 0.0 1.5 14.0 3.5 49 29 1.7 2.7 35.7 38.9 100.0 2.82 51.2 48.2
Jose Perez Jose Perez - 1 36.0 12.0 5.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 7.0 -43 19 -2.3 -3.1 41.7 0.0 50.0 -1.92 43.6 41.7
Eric Jamison Eric Jamison ATH 2 35.0 11.5 4.5 0.0 0.5 0.0 1.5 10.0 5.0 -3 29 -0.1 -0.1 40.0 0.0 77.8 -1.96 48.0 40.0
Nate Johnson Nate Johnson G 2 29.5 10.5 4.5 0.0 1.5 0.0 2.0 11.0 3.5 17 26 0.7 1.0 40.9 25.0 0 0.45 47.7 47.7
Christian Turner Christian Turner G 2 21.0 7.0 2.5 2.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 4.5 7.0 -4 29 -0.1 -0.3 44.4 0.0 85.7 -1.16 57.9 44.4
Justin Jenkins Justin Jenkins G 2 21.0 6.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.5 2.5 34 28 1.2 3.8 27.3 28.6 71.4 1.25 46.2 36.4
Kareem Reid Kareem Reid - 2 13.5 5.0 2.5 0.5 1.0 1.0 1.5 3.0 5.5 31 26 1.2 3.6 50.0 0 80.0 -0.52 61.0 50.0
Ludovic Dufeal Ludovic Dufeal - 2 27.5 2.0 3.5 2.0 0.5 1.5 1.5 2.0 6.0 -45 29 -1.6 -3.1 25.0 0.0 100.0 -2.36 41.0 25.0
Lance Terry Lance Terry - 1 5.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 2.0 -1.0 -10 13 -0.8 -3.0 0.0 0.0 0 -2.63 0.0 0.0
Delis Boggs Delis Boggs F 1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0 5 0.0 0.0 0 0 0 -1.25 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG