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Hampton Pirates 15-19
@
2020-01-20
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs 16-16

Model Predictions

Model Hampton Pirates Gardner-Webb... Spread Projected
Elo
2019-20 season-end ratings
 23.9% (#253) 76.1% (#192) Gardner... -6.8 69-76
Bradley-Terry
2019-20 season-end ratings
 35.5% (#264) 64.5% (#218) - -
Margin
2019-20 season-end ratings
 15.2% (#314) 84.8% (#221) Gardner... -9.5 -
Pythagorean
2019-20 season-end ratings
 32.9% (#287) 67.1% (#176) - -
Adjusted Efficiency
2019-20 season-end ratings
 21.4% (#311) 78.6% (#232) - -
Log Adjusted
2019-20 season-end ratings
 21.2% (#311) 78.8% (#233) - -
Points Off/Def
2019-20 season-end ratings
 30.1% (#314) 69.9% (#218) - -

2019-20 season-end ratings: Spread: 4.0 points per 100 Elo plus a 2.8-point home edge (2018-19 margin fit); projected score: 2018-19's average total of 144 split by the spread. No neutral-site adjustment.

Team Stats Comparison

Stat Hampton Pirates Gardner-Webb...
Games 28 28
PPG 78.1 72.8
FG% 45.8% 44.8%
3PT% 34.4% 36.1%
FT% 69.9% 70.1%
RPG 38.0 35.4
APG 15.1 13.6
SPG 5.1 6.0
BPG 3.8 4.7
TOPG 12.0 11.9

Efficiency Ratings

Metric Hampton Pirates Gardner-Webb...
Adj. Off Eff 92.7 96.5
Adj. Def Eff 107.3 103.5
Adj. Net Eff -14.6 -7.1

Efficiency = points per 100 possessions, adjusted for opponent strength

Hampton Pirates Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Jermaine Marrow 24.9 3.4 6.6 1.2 0.1 37.6
Ben Stanley 21.1 7.3 0.7 0.4 1.5 35.4
Greg Heckstall 9.5 5.4 2.3 0.7 0.3 33.4
Davion Warren 10.0 6.3 1.6 0.7 0.6 27.6
Dondre Griffin 4.6 2.0 1.9 0.7 0.1 22.2

Gardner-Webb Runn... Top Players

Player PPG RPG APG SPG BPG MPG
Eric Jamison Jr. 14.8 6.1 1.2 0.6 0.0 35.3
Jose Perez 14.8 6.7 4.2 0.9 0.2 34.4
Nate Johnson 14.2 4.6 1.3 1.6 0.4 32.4
Jaheam Cornwall 12.7 3.9 3.2 0.8 0.1 30.3
Christian Turner 3.7 1.8 3.6 1.0 0.0 24.5