Gardner-Webb Runnin'
2011 Team Stats (3 games)
67.7
PPG
69.7
Opp
-2.0
Margin
40.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
41.0
RPG
10.3
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2010-2011
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 778 (#289) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 864 (#271) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 939 (#265) | HCA +91 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -7.1 (#267) | HCA +3.0 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -6.4 (#261) | HCA +2.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.227 (#291) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.185 (#284) | AdjNet -12.9 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.182 (#284) | AdjNet -13.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.353 (#270) | AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 66.2 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.410 (#260) | AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 64.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.297 (#278) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.307 (#281) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 828 (#288) | RD 168 | GP 28 |
2011 Schedule & Results
2011 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jonathan Moore
|
G-F | 13 | 29.5 | 13.0 | 4.4 | 0.8 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 14.9 | 27 | 20 | 1.4 | 2.1 | 41.4 | 35.7 | 54.5 | 3.09 | 218.5 | 50.0 |
Laron Buggs
|
G | 15 | 32.4 | 11.9 | 3.3 | 2.1 | 1.3 | 0.2 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 13.8 | -5 | 23 | -0.2 | -0.3 | 29.7 | 42.9 | 73.3 | 2.9 | 204.1 | 37.8 |
Stefon Johnson
|
F | 15 | 25.3 | 9.3 | 5.8 | 0.9 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 1.8 | 2.4 | 13.5 | -100 | 23 | -4.3 | -7.7 | 52.8 | 0 | 42.1 | -5.69 | 157.8 | 52.8 |
Luke Davis
|
G | 15 | 33.7 | 6.7 | 2.3 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 2.6 | 1.5 | 10.8 | -45 | 23 | -2.0 | -2.9 | 43.5 | 23.1 | 71.4 | 1.46 | 173.2 | 50.0 |
David Brown
|
G | 9 | 14.3 | 5.8 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 4.3 | -40 | 12 | -3.3 | -12.5 | 40.0 | 54.5 | 100.0 | -2.32 | 127.2 | 55.0 |
Luke Engelken
|
F | 15 | 16.2 | 4.8 | 2.5 | 0.9 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 0.9 | 7.1 | -103 | 21 | -4.9 | -14.1 | 30.8 | 14.3 | 83.3 | -4.69 | 230.2 | 34.6 |
Santoine Butler
|
F | 10 | 11.2 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 7.3 | -9 | 20 | -0.5 | -1.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 0 | -2.13 | 1125.0 | 100.0 |
Joshua Henley
|
F | 15 | 18.5 | 4.1 | 5.9 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 1.7 | 7.9 | -11 | 22 | -0.5 | -1.3 | 44.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -1.72 | 114.0 | 44.0 |
Michael Byron
|
C | 15 | 14.0 | 3.6 | 3.5 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.9 | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6.2 | -22 | 23 | -1.0 | -3.4 | 64.3 | 0 | 0 | 0.49 | 192.9 | 64.3 |
Brian McNair
|
G | 10 | 12.0 | 3.1 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 3.7 | -59 | 17 | -3.5 | -9.1 | 22.2 | 25.0 | 100.0 | -1.74 | 78.4 | 27.8 |
Keith Manley
|
F | 10 | 10.8 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 5.2 | -34 | 17 | -2.0 | -11.3 | 20.0 | 0 | 50.0 | -2.44 | 133.3 | 20.0 |
Bryan Burrell
|
G | 10 | 3.5 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 1.0 | -19 | 18 | -1.1 | -10.7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.37 | 0 | 0 |
Jay Royster
|
- | 4 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Jamal Mitchell
|
- | 2 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG