๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History

2011 Team Stats (3 games)

67.7
PPG
69.7
Opp
-2.0
Margin
40.9%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
60.0%
FT%
41.0
RPG
10.3
APG
16.7
TO
-
Est. poss./game
59.5
Adj PPG
66.2
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2010-2011
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 778 (#289) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 864 (#271) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +91 elo More โ†’ 939 (#265) HCA +91 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -7.1 (#267) HCA +3.0
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ -6.4 (#261) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.227 (#291) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.9 More โ†’ 0.185 (#284) AdjNet -12.9
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.0 More โ†’ 0.182 (#284) AdjNet -13.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 66.2 More โ†’ 0.353 (#270) AdjO 59.5 | AdjD 66.2
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 64.2 More โ†’ 0.410 (#260) AdjO 60.2 | AdjD 64.2
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.297 (#278) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.307 (#281) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 168 | GP 28 More โ†’ 828 (#288) RD 168 | GP 28

2011 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2010-11-12 @ Charlotte 49ers W 78 - 70
2010-11-13 vs Mary Washington Eagles W 76 - 61
2010-11-16 @ Florida State Seminoles L 53 - 78
2010-11-18 vs VA Intermont Cobras W 78 - 42
2010-11-21 @ Michigan Wolverines L 58 - 80
2010-11-26 @ William & Mary Tribe L 55 - 56
2010-11-27 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 71 - 65
2010-11-28 @ Mercer Bears W 78 - 65
2010-12-02 @ High Point Panthers L 64 - 66
2010-12-04 @ Radford Highlanders W 59 - 52
2010-12-07 @ Elon Phoenix L 82 - 90
2010-12-09 @ Oklahoma Sooners L 58 - 71
2010-12-11 @ Arizona State Sun Devils L 48 - 71
2010-12-18 @ Louisville Cardinals L 49 - 78
2010-12-31 vs Liberty Flames L 62 - 64
2011-01-02 vs VMI Keydets L 76 - 97
2011-01-06 @ Presbyterian Blue Hose L 44 - 78
2011-01-08 @ Winthrop Eagles L 48 - 63
2011-01-15 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs L 59 - 68
2011-01-20 vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers W 58 - 50
2011-01-22 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 55 - 58
2011-01-27 @ VMI Keydets L 66 - 85
2011-01-29 @ Liberty Flames L 51 - 67
2011-02-03 vs Winthrop Eagles L 57 - 60
2011-02-15 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers W 59 - 57
2011-02-19 @ Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles L 58 - 60
2011-02-22 @ Charleston Southern Buccaneers L 61 - 72
2011-02-24 vs Radford Highlanders W 71 - 63
2011-02-26 vs High Point Panthers W 64 - 40
2011-03-01 @ Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 72 - 83

2011 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Jonathan Moore Jonathan Moore G-F 13 29.5 13.0 4.4 0.8 1.1 0.0 2.2 2.2 14.9 27 20 1.4 2.1 41.4 35.7 54.5 3.09 218.5 50.0
Laron Buggs Laron Buggs G 15 32.4 11.9 3.3 2.1 1.3 0.2 2.5 2.5 13.8 -5 23 -0.2 -0.3 29.7 42.9 73.3 2.9 204.1 37.8
Stefon Johnson Stefon Johnson F 15 25.3 9.3 5.8 0.9 1.2 0.5 1.8 2.4 13.5 -100 23 -4.3 -7.7 52.8 0 42.1 -5.69 157.8 52.8
Luke Davis Luke Davis G 15 33.7 6.7 2.3 4.5 1.5 0.0 2.6 1.5 10.8 -45 23 -2.0 -2.9 43.5 23.1 71.4 1.46 173.2 50.0
David Brown David Brown G 9 14.3 5.8 0.6 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.3 -40 12 -3.3 -12.5 40.0 54.5 100.0 -2.32 127.2 55.0
Luke Engelken Luke Engelken F 15 16.2 4.8 2.5 0.9 0.7 0.3 1.3 0.9 7.1 -103 21 -4.9 -14.1 30.8 14.3 83.3 -4.69 230.2 34.6
Santoine Butler Santoine Butler F 10 11.2 4.5 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.2 7.3 -9 20 -0.5 -1.9 100.0 0 0 -2.13 1125.0 100.0
Joshua Henley Joshua Henley F 15 18.5 4.1 5.9 0.5 0.6 0.0 1.5 1.7 7.9 -11 22 -0.5 -1.3 44.0 0 50.0 -1.72 114.0 44.0
Michael Byron Michael Byron C 15 14.0 3.6 3.5 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.9 6.2 -22 23 -1.0 -3.4 64.3 0 0 0.49 192.9 64.3
Brian McNair Brian McNair G 10 12.0 3.1 1.3 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.9 1.8 3.7 -59 17 -3.5 -9.1 22.2 25.0 100.0 -1.74 78.4 27.8
Keith Manley Keith Manley F 10 10.8 2.9 3.2 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.4 1.0 5.2 -34 17 -2.0 -11.3 20.0 0 50.0 -2.44 133.3 20.0
Bryan Burrell Bryan Burrell G 10 3.5 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.4 0.0 1.0 -19 18 -1.1 -10.7 0 0 0 -2.37 0 0
Jay Royster Jay Royster - 4 2.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jamal Mitchell Jamal Mitchell - 2 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG