Model Predictions
| Model | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | +27.4 | ✓ (1.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.8% | 93.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.7% | 99.3% | +27.3 | ✓ (1.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +29 (78-49). Ratings: 2010-11 season-end ratings.
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Davis | 35 | 2-7 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -3 | - |
| Laron Buggs | 31 | 4-11 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Joshua Henley | 25 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Stefon Johnson | 23 | 5-13 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Brian McNair | 21 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Luke Engelken | 21 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Keith Manley | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Michael Byron | 13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| David Brown | 9 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Bryan Burrell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Preston Knowles | 31 | 9-15 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 20 | - |
| Gorgui Dieng | 24 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 8 | 21 | - |
| Kyle Kuric | 22 | 3-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| Chris Smith | 22 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Mike Marra | 22 | 4-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Peyton Siva | 20 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Terrence Jennings | 15 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Stephan Van Treese | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Elisha Justice | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Russ Smith | 9 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| George Goode | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Tim Henderson | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
* = starter