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2011-01-29

Model Predictions

Model Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs Liberty Flames Spread Result
Elo 32.4% 67.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 29.3% 70.7% - โœ“
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 โœ“ (10.1 off)
Pythagorean 32.2% 67.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 27.7% 72.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 28.0% 72.0% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“

Actual: Liberty Flames +16 (67-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Luke Davis * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 1 0 2 2 9 -
Laron Buggs * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 12 13 -
Joshua Henley * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 9 15 -
Michael Byron * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 2 7 11 -
Luke Engelken * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jonathan Moore 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 2 4 8 -
Keith Manley 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 0 0 0 9 19 -
David Brown 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 6 7 -
Stefon Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Brian McNair 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jay Royster 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Bryan Burrell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Liberty Flames

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Evan Gordon * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 3 0 2 16 19 -
Jesse Sanders * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 7 1 0 3 11 24 -
John Brown * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 16 1 0 1 2 9 25 -
David Minaya * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 0 12 17 -
Antwan Burrus * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 0 6 13 -
Joel Vander Pol 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 0 8 15 -
Jesse Sanders 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Jeremy Anderson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
Chene Phillips 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Sommy Ogukwe 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 0 2 7 -
G. Lafser 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
James Spencer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
Carter McMasters 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Woods 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter