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Gardner-Webb Runnin'

Also known as: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
Program History

2006 Team Stats (4 games)

70.5
PPG
80.8
Opp
-10.2
Margin
48.5%
FG%
29.5%
3P%
73.6%
FT%
34.5
RPG
16.0
APG
19.8
TO
-
Est. poss./game
62.5
Adj PPG
68.6
Adj Opp PPG
#262
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2005-2006
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 986 (#169) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1018 (#149) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +97 elo More โ†’ 1070 (#72) HCA +97 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.3 More โ†’ -7.3 (#268) HCA +3.3
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.0 More โ†’ -8.6 (#281) HCA +3.0
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.401 (#214) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -11.8 More โ†’ 0.204 (#268) AdjNet -11.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.0 More โ†’ 0.201 (#268) AdjNet -12.0
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 68.6 More โ†’ 0.363 (#262) AdjO 62.5 | AdjD 68.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.0 More โ†’ 0.440 (#232) AdjO 63.4 | AdjD 66.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.395 (#213) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.411 (#210) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 29 More โ†’ 1014 (#150) RD 150 | GP 29

2006 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2005-11-19 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 80 - 83
2005-11-22 @ East Carolina Pirates W 77 - 72
2005-11-25 @ Auburn Tigers L 43 - 70
2005-11-28 @ Minnesota Golden Gophers W 73 - 72
2005-12-03 vs Stetson Hatters W 70 - 68
2005-12-05 vs Mercer Bears W 67 - 58
2005-12-11 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 68 - 76
2005-12-22 @ Western Carolina Catamounts W 90 - 83
2005-12-28 @ Ohio State Buckeyes L 58 - 87
2006-01-02 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 58 - 70
2006-01-04 @ Belmont Bruins W 69 - 67
2006-01-06 vs Kennesaw State Owls L 68 - 74
2006-01-09 vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers L 66 - 89
2006-01-13 vs Campbell Fighting Camels L 76 - 79
2006-01-15 vs Florida Atlantic Owls L 51 - 72
2006-01-19 @ Jacksonville Dolphins W 72 - 67
2006-01-21 @ North Florida Ospreys W 71 - 67
2006-01-25 @ Campbell Fighting Camels W 81 - 70
2006-01-28 vs Jacksonville Dolphins W 77 - 73
2006-01-30 vs North Florida Ospreys W 69 - 68
2006-02-04 @ Florida Atlantic Owls L 63 - 77
2006-02-09 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 84 - 58
2006-02-11 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 69 - 64
2006-02-16 vs Belmont Bruins W 74 - 66
2006-02-18 vs Lipscomb Bisons W 71 - 66
2006-02-23 @ Mercer Bears W 77 - 67
2006-02-25 @ Stetson Hatters L 65 - 77
2006-03-02 @ East Tennessee State Buccaneers W 64 - 63
2006-03-03 @ Lipscomb Bisons L 51 - 70

2006 Roster

No roster data available for this season.