Model Predictions
| Model | East Tennessee State Buccaneers | Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.8% | 67.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 50.1% | 49.9% | +0.0 | ✓ (23.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 50.6% | 49.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs -23 (66-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Smith | 39 | 10-23 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25 | 14 | - |
| B. Nuckles | 33 | 6-11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 20 | - |
| C. Pigram | 29 | 9-16 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 14 | - |
| B. Rhoda | 28 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 3 | - |
| T. Strong | 24 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Reed | 17 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Sneed | 14 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| E. Thomas | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| S. Keaton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Taylor | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| N. Tuggle | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Jennings | 35 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 4-7 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 8 | - |
| S. Conn | 31 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 16 | - |
| T.J. McCullough | 27 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 6 | - |
| B. Bender | 24 | 5-12 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| C. Gash | 24 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | - |
| R. McPhee | 22 | 4-10 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Didion | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Graham | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Siddle | 10 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | - |
| B. Noonan | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter