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Fordham

Also known as: Fordham Rams, Fordham
Program History

2012 Team Stats (5 games)

60.2
PPG
64.8
Opp
-4.6
Margin
42.5%
FG%
28.9%
3P%
67.1%
FT%
35.6
RPG
14.0
APG
16.4
TO
-
Est. poss./game
60.6
Adj PPG
67.3
Adj Opp PPG
#271
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2011-2012
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 882 (#229) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 923 (#230) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +101 elo More โ†’ 913 (#281) HCA +101 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -6.7 (#266) HCA +3.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.2 More โ†’ -7.1 (#271) HCA +3.2
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.185 (#300) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.256 (#257) AdjNet -9.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -9.3 More โ†’ 0.254 (#259) AdjNet -9.3
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 67.3 More โ†’ 0.353 (#271) AdjO 60.6 | AdjD 67.3
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 68.5 More โ†’ 0.327 (#313) AdjO 60.5 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.326 (#264) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.321 (#269) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 153 | GP 27 More โ†’ 931 (#214) RD 153 | GP 27

2012 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2011-11-12 @ Syracuse Orange L 53 - 78
2011-11-18 vs Binghamton Bearcats W 64 - 49
2011-11-26 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 50 - 64
2011-11-29 vs Colgate Raiders W 79 - 69
2011-12-01 vs Lehigh Mountain Hawks L 60 - 78
2011-12-05 vs Hampton Pirates W 54 - 53
2011-12-07 @ Manhattan Jaspers L 47 - 81
2011-12-10 @ Monmouth Hawks L 65 - 80
2011-12-12 @ Siena Saints W 74 - 59
2011-12-17 @ St. John's Red Storm L 50 - 56
2011-12-22 vs Texas State Bobcats W 81 - 70
2011-12-29 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 72 - 66
2012-01-03 vs Harvard Crimson W 60 - 54
2012-01-05 @ UMass Minutemen L 76 - 80
2012-01-07 vs Xavier Musketeers L 59 - 67
2012-01-11 @ Saint Joseph's Hawks L 62 - 80
2012-01-18 vs Rhode Island Rams W 66 - 64
2012-01-25 @ Richmond Spiders L 58 - 102
2012-01-28 vs George Washington Colonials W 63 - 58
2012-02-01 @ Temple Owls L 60 - 78
2012-02-04 vs Charlotte 49ers L 62 - 69
2012-02-15 @ Duquesne Dukes L 67 - 77
2012-02-18 @ Saint Louis Billikens L 46 - 66
2012-02-22 vs St. Bonaventure Bonnies L 63 - 89
2012-02-25 vs La Salle Explorers W 67 - 62
2012-02-29 @ Rhode Island Rams L 58 - 78
2012-03-03 vs Temple Owls L 60 - 80

2012 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Chris Gaston Chris Gaston F 26 33.7 17.0 10.1 1.1 1.3 1.8 2.7 7.1 21.5 -113 24 -4.7 -6.4 40.8 50.0 57.1 1.15 104.1 41.3
Branden Frazier Branden Frazier G 26 33.5 12.6 2.5 3.8 1.2 0.4 2.1 6.2 12.3 -123 25 -4.9 -6.4 39.4 32.8 74.4 0.69 92.6 45.9
Bryan Smith Bryan Smith G 26 29.2 8.7 3.2 1.8 1.4 0.2 1.8 4.5 9.0 -134 25 -5.4 -7.9 33.1 32.5 45.5 -0.88 88.9 43.6
Devon McMillan Devon McMillan G 25 26.9 7.1 2.6 2.9 1.2 0.2 3.0 3.8 7.2 -85 24 -3.5 -5.8 31.6 11.1 59.2 -1.09 76.4 32.6
Kervin Bristol Kervin Bristol F 26 25.5 5.4 8.0 0.5 0.5 2.4 1.1 2.2 13.6 -45 25 -1.8 -3.1 62.1 0 53.3 1.73 109.1 62.1
Alberto Estwick Alberto Estwick G 25 20.2 4.0 2.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.8 2.1 4.1 -139 24 -5.8 -12.8 46.2 34.5 0 -1.95 97.1 55.8
Jeff Short Jeff Short G 8 13.2 3.9 1.0 0.4 0.8 0.1 0.6 1.2 4.2 -25 6 -4.2 -15.9 20.0 22.2 0 -2.14 155.0 30.0
Marvin Dominique Marvin Dominique F 26 12.5 2.9 3.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.7 4.8 -94 25 -3.8 -14.1 36.4 0 76.5 -3.07 73.8 36.4
Lamount Samuell Lamount Samuell G 23 8.6 2.0 0.8 1.3 0.3 0.1 1.4 0.9 2.1 -92 22 -4.2 -22.2 45.0 33.3 64.7 -5.45 83.7 50.0
Ryan Canty Ryan Canty C 23 6.9 1.4 1.9 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.4 3.2 -104 22 -4.7 -26.3 44.4 0 100.0 -5.24 161.9 44.4
Luka Zivkovic Luka Zivkovic F 7 4.7 1.1 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.9 -11 9 -1.2 -15.1 50.0 0.0 0 -1.36 200.0 50.0
DC Gaitley DC Gaitley G 3 1.7 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 - - - - 0 0 0 0.05 0 0
Khalid Robinson Khalid Robinson G 8 1.8 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 1 8 0.1 2.8 0 0 0 -0.36 0 0
Ryan Hage Ryan Hage G 6 2.7 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 5 7 0.7 13.4 0 0 100.0 0.74 113.6 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG