Model Predictions
| Model | Fordham Rams | Massachusetts Minutemen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.6% | 92.4% | +16.2 | ✓ (12.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.8% | 96.2% | +17.7 | ✓ (13.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.9% | 98.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.6% | 82.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Massachusetts Minutemen +4 (80-76). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Branden Frazier * | 39 | 6-15 | 3-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 7 | - |
| Chris Gaston * | 37 | 7-16 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 20 | - |
| Bryan Smith * | 35 | 4-14 | 3-8 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 2 | - |
| Kervin Bristol * | 25 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Devon McMillan * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Lamount Samuell | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Alberto Estwick | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Ryan Canty | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Marvin Dominique | 9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Massachusetts Minutemen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chaz Williams * | 37 | 6-20 | 3-7 | 5-10 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 14 | - |
| Terrell Vinson * | 34 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 4-7 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Raphiael Putney * | 29 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Sean Carter * | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Jesse Morgan * | 24 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 6-8 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
| Javorn Farrell | 21 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Freddie Riley | 18 | 4-9 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
| Maxie Esho | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
* = starter