Model Predictions
| Model | Harvard Crimson | Fordham Rams | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 81.0% | 19.0% | -10.8 | โ (16.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | โ |
| Margin | 90.8% | 9.2% | -12.6 | โ (18.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 79.1% | 20.9% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.1% | 5.9% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.7% | 24.3% | - | โ |
Actual: Fordham Rams +6 (60-54). Ratings: 2011-12 season-end ratings.
Harvard Crimson
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver McNally * | 36 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Keith Wright * | 35 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 15 | - |
| Kyle Casey * | 30 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Brandyn Curry * | 26 | 6-14 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Christian Webster * | 17 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| Laurent Rivard | 25 | 2-10 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Steve Moundou-Missi | 10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Corbin Miller | 9 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Wesley Saunders | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jonah Travis | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Fordham Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Gaston * | 35 | 8-15 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 16 | - |
| Branden Frazier * | 34 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 11 | - |
| Bryan Smith * | 30 | 7-11 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 13 | - |
| Devon McMillan * | 28 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Kervin Bristol * | 26 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | - |
| Jeff Short | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
| Marvin Dominique | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Alberto Estwick | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Canty | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter