🐻⬇️🏀

Elon

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History
Coach: Matt Matheny

2016 Team Stats (2 games)

72.5
PPG
89.5
Opp
-17.0
Margin
39.4%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
66.7%
FT%
37.5
RPG
15.0
APG
14.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.6
Adj PPG
74.6
Adj Opp PPG
#164
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2015-2016
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 947 (#202) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1005 (#168) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +98 elo More → 945 (#248) HCA +98 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → +0.1 (#161) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → +0.0 (#162) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.449 (#193) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.497 (#166) AdjNet -0.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -0.1 More → 0.496 (#166) AdjNet -0.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 74.6 More → 0.501 (#164) AdjO 74.6 | AdjD 74.6
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.0 More → 0.484 (#180) AdjO 71.2 | AdjD 72.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.464 (#185) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.460 (#188) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 151 | GP 30 More → 959 (#198) RD 151 | GP 30

2016 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2015-11-13 @ Charlotte 49ers W 85 - 74
2015-11-16 @ Michigan Wolverines L 68 - 88
2015-11-18 vs Belmont Abbey Crusaders W 84 - 57
2015-11-21 @ Syracuse Orange L 55 - 66
2015-11-26 vs Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers W 79 - 74
2015-11-27 vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders L 81 - 85
2015-11-30 vs Kennesaw State Owls W 103 - 93
2015-12-04 @ Florida International Panthers W 77 - 71
2015-12-13 vs Wesley Wolverines W 106 - 77
2015-12-16 vs Alabama State Hornets W 91 - 74
2015-12-19 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 79 - 69
2015-12-21 @ UNC Asheville Bulldogs W 86 - 81
2015-12-28 @ Duke Blue Devils L 66 - 105
2015-12-31 vs Northeastern Huskies L 79 - 86
2016-01-02 vs Drexel Dragons W 83 - 78
2016-01-07 @ James Madison Dukes W 79 - 73
2016-01-09 vs Hofstra Pride L 76 - 80
2016-01-14 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 82 - 91
2016-01-16 @ Charleston Cougars W 65 - 64
2016-01-21 @ William & Mary Tribe L 67 - 89
2016-01-23 vs James Madison Dukes L 64 - 82
2016-01-28 @ Hofstra Pride L 64 - 66
2016-01-30 @ Northeastern Huskies W 71 - 67
2016-02-04 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 83 - 56
2016-02-06 vs Towson Tigers L 77 - 81
2016-02-11 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 82 - 86
2016-02-13 vs Charleston Cougars L 62 - 66
2016-02-18 @ Drexel Dragons W 81 - 76
2016-02-20 @ Towson Tigers L 56 - 67
2016-02-25 vs William & Mary Tribe L 65 - 75
2016-02-27 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 77 - 59
2016-03-04 vs Drexel Dragons L 56 - 57

2016 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Tanner Samson Tanner Samson G 25 28.1 12.7 4.6 2.1 0.8 0.5 1.2 2.1 17.4 92 28 3.3 5.1 48.1 46.3 84.2 2.44 262.6 66.3
Luke Eddy Luke Eddy G 25 26.0 10.3 2.8 4.8 1.1 0.0 3.0 1.4 14.7 57 28 2.0 3.3 34.3 28.6 60.0 -0.1 279.3 37.1
Tyler Seibring Tyler Seibring F 25 27.8 9.8 4.6 2.0 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.4 15.2 69 28 2.5 3.7 52.8 48.0 40.0 0.69 322.0 69.4
Dainan Swoope Dainan Swoope G 25 23.0 9.6 2.5 2.0 0.7 0.0 1.1 1.4 12.4 40 28 1.4 2.9 37.1 33.3 46.7 0.3 289.7 47.1
Christian Hairston Christian Hairston F 25 22.4 9.0 6.2 1.2 0.6 0.4 1.2 1.4 14.9 43 28 1.5 3.1 50.0 0 47.4 -0.43 265.6 50.0
Steve Santa Ana Steve Santa Ana G 22 18.7 9.0 3.4 1.3 0.3 0.2 1.4 2.2 10.5 12 25 0.5 1.1 44.9 48.1 45.5 -0.87 183.9 58.2
Dmitri Thompson Dmitri Thompson G 25 24.4 8.9 5.0 1.2 1.0 0.1 1.9 1.6 12.7 33 28 1.2 2.0 45.0 50.0 69.2 -1.27 243.9 47.5
Brian Dawkins Brian Dawkins F 18 14.5 5.7 2.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 1.1 0.6 7.8 -3 22 -0.1 -0.4 45.5 0.0 0 -3.32 468.2 45.5
Patrick Ryan Patrick Ryan - 3 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 - - - - 100.0 0 0 - 300.0 100.0
Jack Anton Jack Anton F 25 8.7 2.0 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.3 3 27 0.1 0.6 62.5 33.3 100.0 -0.78 302.1 68.8
Sam Hershberger Sam Hershberger G 6 2.0 1.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1.7 -1 7 -0.1 -2.8 0.0 0.0 0 -0.66 500.0 0.0
Wes Brewer Wes Brewer F 5 1.6 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 1.0 2 6 0.3 7.4 100.0 0 0 -0.16 150.0 100.0
Karolis Kundrotas Karolis Kundrotas F 24 5.5 1.2 1.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 1.8 -23 24 -1.0 -7.8 20.0 0.0 0 -3.87 280.0 20.0
Sheldon Eberhardt Sheldon Eberhardt G 11 5.1 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.5 0.5 1.5 7 14 0.5 3.9 40.0 0.0 0 1.14 120.0 40.0
Tony Sabato Tony Sabato C 5 2.4 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 1.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Collin Luther Collin Luther C 17 6.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 -20 19 -1.1 -8.2 28.6 0.0 100.0 -2.83 57.1 28.6
Ryder Bowline Ryder Bowline - 3 2.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack George Jack George - 4 1.5 0.0 0.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0 0 - 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG