Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 22.5% | 77.5% | +7.8 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.3% | 72.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.9% | 88.1% | +11.0 | ✓ (6.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.3% | 54.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 12.2% | 87.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.0% | 88.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +5 (79-74). Ratings: 2015-16 season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Junior Robinson * | 36 | 7-13 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 12 | - |
| Khalid Nwandu * | 19 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Will Miller * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Gregory Graves * | 14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| Troy Henderson * | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B.K. Ashe | 31 | 9-16 | 2-7 | 5-7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 16 | - |
| Taylor Danaher | 27 | 7-12 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 12 | - |
| Chris Wray | 23 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Charles Glover | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Mitrou-Long | 12 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Chris Manning | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dmitri Thompson * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Luke Eddy * | 25 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 9-11 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 13 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 21 | 0-5 | 0-4 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Tyler Seibring * | 18 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Brian Dawkins * | 18 | 5-10 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| Dainan Swoope | 26 | 3-9 | 2-4 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Steve Santa Ana | 23 | 4-8 | 2-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 13 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 19 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Collin Luther | 9 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Anton | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Karolis Kundrotas | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter