🐻⬇️🏀

Elon

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History
Coach: Matt Matheny

2015 Team Stats (2 games)

67.5
PPG
76.5
Opp
-9.0
Margin
38.9%
FG%
31.7%
3P%
75.0%
FT%
34.5
RPG
9.5
APG
15.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
65.1
Adj PPG
69.8
Adj Opp PPG
#246
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2014-2015
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 923 (#226) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 897 (#257) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +90 elo More → 955 (#237) HCA +90 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.9 More → -4.9 (#246) HCA +2.9
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.8 More → -4.9 (#253) HCA +2.8
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.369 (#238) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -7.7 More → 0.291 (#243) AdjNet -7.7
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -7.7 More → 0.291 (#242) AdjNet -7.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 69.8 More → 0.396 (#246) AdjO 65.1 | AdjD 69.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 69.3 More → 0.425 (#255) AdjO 66.0 | AdjD 69.3
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.371 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.376 (#246) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 147 | GP 31 More → 917 (#236) RD 147 | GP 31

2015 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2014-11-14 vs Florida Atlantic Owls W 64 - 58
2014-11-16 vs Charlotte 49ers L 60 - 73
2014-11-22 @ Northwestern Wildcats L 67 - 68
2014-11-25 vs Morgan State Bears W 74 - 73
2014-11-26 vs North Florida Ospreys L 65 - 72
2014-11-30 @ Miami (OH) RedHawks W 70 - 68
2014-12-02 vs Virginia Lynchburg Dragons W 111 - 55
2014-12-07 vs Central Penn Knights W 117 - 73
2014-12-11 @ Missouri Tigers L 73 - 78
2014-12-15 @ Duke Blue Devils L 62 - 75
2014-12-20 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 71 - 64
2014-12-22 @ Kennesaw State Owls W 67 - 65
2014-12-28 vs Marist Red Foxes W 69 - 64
2015-01-03 @ Drexel Dragons W 77 - 67
2015-01-05 @ Towson Tigers L 53 - 57
2015-01-08 vs William & Mary Tribe W 85 - 79
2015-01-10 vs Hofstra Pride L 61 - 79
2015-01-14 vs Charleston Cougars L 50 - 66
2015-01-17 @ James Madison Dukes L 72 - 75
2015-01-22 vs Towson Tigers L 51 - 53
2015-01-24 vs Delaware Blue Hens W 94 - 82
2015-01-28 @ UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 65 - 82
2015-01-31 @ Northeastern Huskies L 61 - 80
2015-02-05 vs Drexel Dragons L 63 - 67
2015-02-07 @ Hofstra Pride L 69 - 80
2015-02-11 @ William & Mary Tribe L 58 - 77
2015-02-14 vs James Madison Dukes L 75 - 86
2015-02-18 @ Charleston Cougars L 63 - 77
2015-02-21 @ Delaware Blue Hens W 83 - 75
2015-02-26 vs Northeastern Huskies W 72 - 65
2015-02-28 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks W 74 - 55
2015-03-06 vs Towson Tigers W 74 - 69
2015-03-07 @ William & Mary Tribe L 59 - 72

2015 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Eddy Luke Eddy G 9 18.8 14.9 2.3 1.8 1.3 0.1 1.6 3.6 15.3 2 5 0.4 1.1 59.4 55.6 87.5 -0.17 171.6 67.2
Elijah Bryant Elijah Bryant - 31 25.7 13.8 4.3 2.7 1.3 0.4 3.5 1.8 17.2 -99 25 -4.0 -6.5 23.6 25.0 63.2 -2.9 338.5 27.3
Tanner Samson Tanner Samson G 30 30.3 12.6 4.3 1.4 1.4 0.3 1.4 1.6 16.9 -8 25 -0.3 -0.5 26.5 25.6 87.5 2.89 336.4 37.8
Austin Hamilton Austin Hamilton G 29 25.4 9.3 2.4 3.2 0.9 0.0 1.8 1.1 13.0 -43 25 -1.7 -2.8 40.6 38.5 75.0 0.17 401.4 48.4
Kevin Blake Kevin Blake G 30 24.3 8.3 3.5 1.2 0.6 0.1 1.4 1.1 11.2 -46 25 -1.8 -3.2 36.4 28.6 55.6 -0.27 335.5 39.4
Dmitri Thompson Dmitri Thompson G 30 18.9 6.2 3.6 0.4 0.7 0.0 1.0 0.8 9.0 -102 25 -4.1 -9.4 52.0 0.0 50.0 -4.21 347.5 52.0
Christian Hairston Christian Hairston F 30 19.0 5.4 3.6 0.6 0.7 0.1 1.3 0.6 8.5 -36 25 -1.4 -3.6 72.2 0 50.0 -0.11 392.4 72.2
Ryan Winters Ryan Winters F 17 23.9 4.8 4.1 0.6 0.1 0.1 1.0 1.1 7.5 -42 12 -3.5 -6.0 52.6 0 33.3 -2.92 199.3 52.6
Tony Sabato Tony Sabato C 30 16.8 3.6 2.2 0.8 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.5 5.7 -9 25 -0.4 -0.9 46.7 0 50.0 -0.98 336.9 46.7
Collin Luther Collin Luther C 29 12.2 2.1 1.9 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.4 0.2 4.1 -24 25 -1.0 -3.3 28.6 40.0 0 -0.02 435.7 42.9
Ryder Bowline Ryder Bowline - 2 3.0 2.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 2.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Jack Anton Jack Anton F 29 11.1 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.4 2.6 -38 24 -1.6 -6.7 33.3 33.3 50.0 -1.76 156.2 37.5
Patrick Ryan Patrick Ryan - 3 3.3 1.0 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.0 3.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sam Hershberger Sam Hershberger G 4 2.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.2 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wes Brewer Wes Brewer F 2 3.5 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG