Model Predictions
| Model | Morgan State Bears | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.4% | 89.6% | +11.8 | ✓ (10.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.0% | 92.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.7% | 92.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.2% | 73.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +1 (74-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Morgan State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Blake Bozeman * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Donte Pretlow * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Cedric Blossom * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 11 | 18 | - |
| Zech Smith * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 15 | - |
| Rasean Simpson * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Torin Childs-Harris | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| Cliff Cornish | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| Kyle Thomas | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Conrad Chambers | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Clive Vaughan | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jamar Redmond | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jeremiah Curtis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Winters * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Tony Sabato * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Austin Hamilton * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Blake * | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Elijah Bryant | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Luke Eddy | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jack Anton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Collin Luther | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
* = starter