Model Predictions
| Model | UNC Wilmington Seahawks | Elon Phoenix | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 47.0% | 53.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.7% | 40.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 53.7% | 46.3% | -0.8 | ✗ (19.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.2% | 46.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.5% | 34.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.6% | 34.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Elon Phoenix +19 (74-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UNC Wilmington Seahawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Spruill * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Craig Ponder * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Freddie Jackson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jordon Talley * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Cedrick Williams * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 14 | - |
| Dylan Sherwood | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C.J. Gettys | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Malik Pugh | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Chuck Ogbodo | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nick Powell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Bryant * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 22 | - |
| Tanner Samson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 24 | - |
| Austin Hamilton * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 19 | - |
| Kevin Blake * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tony Sabato * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| Dmitri Thompson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| Christian Hairston | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Collin Luther | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Jack Anton | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Sam Hershberger | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Patrick Ryan | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Wes Brewer | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter