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Elon

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Elon Phoenix
Program History
Coach: Matt Matheny

2014 Team Stats (4 games)

65.0
PPG
79.0
Opp
-14.0
Margin
40.0%
FG%
33.3%
3P%
68.7%
FT%
32.5
RPG
12.8
APG
13.5
TO
-
Est. poss./game
67.3
Adj PPG
70.1
Adj Opp PPG
#209
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2013-2014
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1004 (#173) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 988 (#177) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1011 (#156) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -3.2 (#210) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More → -3.7 (#227) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.519 (#158) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -3.8 More → 0.392 (#202) AdjNet -3.8
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -3.9 More → 0.390 (#202) AdjNet -3.9
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 70.1 More → 0.437 (#209) AdjO 67.3 | AdjD 70.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 67.8 More → 0.480 (#196) AdjO 66.9 | AdjD 67.8
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.440 (#197) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.449 (#195) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 29 More → 959 (#199) RD 150 | GP 29

2014 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2013-11-08 vs Washington and Lee Generals W 114 - 64
2013-11-10 @ Marist Red Foxes W 75 - 48
2013-11-15 @ Charlotte 49ers L 69 - 83
2013-11-18 vs Drexel Dragons L 64 - 71
2013-11-19 vs Canisius Golden Griffins L 85 - 86
2013-11-25 vs MSU Denver Roadrunners L 74 - 75
2013-11-26 vs Georgia State Panthers W 90 - 85
2013-12-01 vs Columbia Lions W 68 - 65
2013-12-03 vs VMI Keydets W 87 - 70
2013-12-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 63 - 80
2013-12-17 @ Georgetown Hoyas L 76 - 85
2013-12-19 vs Central Penn Knights W 126 - 78
2013-12-22 @ Florida Atlantic Owls W 67 - 62
2013-12-31 vs Duke Blue Devils L 48 - 86
2014-01-04 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 62 - 74
2014-01-06 vs App State Mountaineers W 75 - 66
2014-01-11 vs The Citadel Bulldogs W 74 - 65
2014-01-16 @ Davidson Wildcats W 87 - 85
2014-01-18 vs Massachusetts Minutemen L 74 - 84
2014-01-23 @ Chattanooga Mocs L 63 - 84
2014-01-25 @ Samford Bulldogs L 59 - 62
2014-01-30 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 74 - 60
2014-02-01 @ App State Mountaineers W 83 - 76
2014-02-06 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 72 - 66
2014-02-08 vs Georgia Southern Eagles W 60 - 59
2014-02-12 @ Furman Paladins - Postponed
2014-02-15 vs Samford Bulldogs W 86 - 69
2014-02-19 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans W 81 - 68
2014-02-22 @ Georgia Southern Eagles W 66 - 61
2014-02-24 @ Furman Paladins W 78 - 49
2014-02-27 vs Wofford Terriers L 59 - 63
2014-03-01 vs Davidson Wildcats L 69 - 86
2014-03-08 vs Western Carolina Catamounts L 64 - 66

2014 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Lucas Troutman Lucas Troutman F 25 29.1 15.8 5.8 0.8 0.5 1.7 2.0 4.0 18.7 66 24 2.8 4.3 44.6 0 69.2 0.06 159.0 44.6
Sebastian Koch Sebastian Koch G 26 33.0 11.3 4.8 2.8 0.6 0.2 1.7 3.4 14.7 98 25 3.9 5.3 46.6 47.5 88.9 2.46 160.4 62.5
Ryley Beaumont Ryley Beaumont F 26 30.1 10.6 5.0 1.8 0.4 0.2 1.8 2.6 13.7 37 25 1.5 2.3 32.4 25.0 76.5 -0.98 182.8 35.3
Tanner Samson Tanner Samson G 26 26.3 10.1 3.7 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.8 2.2 13.4 25 25 1.0 1.7 43.1 46.9 81.8 -2.77 193.6 62.9
Jack Isenbarger Jack Isenbarger G 23 25.8 9.8 2.7 2.2 0.5 0.0 1.0 2.7 11.4 57 22 2.6 4.5 39.7 37.8 75.0 1.77 153.6 53.2
Austin Hamilton Austin Hamilton G 26 18.0 5.5 1.9 2.6 0.7 0.0 1.1 1.6 8.0 25 25 1.0 2.3 40.5 14.3 47.8 -0.72 137.2 42.9
Kevin Blake Kevin Blake G 26 14.1 4.0 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.9 0.6 6.2 -21 25 -0.8 -2.6 53.3 0.0 53.8 -3.98 251.0 53.3
Ryan Winters Ryan Winters F 16 10.4 3.3 1.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1.1 3.8 21 16 1.3 5.0 64.7 0 87.5 -0.3 129.1 64.7
Luke Eddy Luke Eddy G 16 8.4 3.3 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.1 0.6 3.1 14 15 0.9 6.1 30.0 0.0 66.7 -1.08 209.7 30.0
Brian Dawkins Brian Dawkins F 21 6.5 2.1 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.3 3.1 33 21 1.6 8.5 28.6 0 83.3 1.06 228.2 28.6
Tony Sabato Tony Sabato C 22 8.5 1.6 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.3 2.2 -39 20 -1.9 -9.9 50.0 0 0 -5.56 291.7 50.0
Christian Hairston Christian Hairston F 17 6.4 1.3 1.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.2 2.8 54 17 3.2 22.4 50.0 100.0 0 2.02 275.0 62.5
Ryder Bowline Ryder Bowline - 2 1.5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Wes Brewer Wes Brewer F 2 2.0 0.0 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0
Sam Hershberger Sam Hershberger G 2 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG