๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-12-22

Model Predictions

Model Elon Phoenix Florida Atlantic Owls Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 65.6% 34.4% - โœ“
Margin 43.9% 56.1% +1.3 โœ— (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 59.6% 40.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 56.4% 43.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 56.3% 43.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 47.2% 52.8% - โœ—

Actual: Florida Atlantic Owls -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Sebastian Koch * 34 5-12 2-6 2-2 7 3 0 1 1 14 12 -
Tanner Samson * 30 3-11 3-7 0-0 5 3 1 0 0 9 7 -
Ryley Beaumont * 26 1-5 0-1 4-4 7 1 1 0 4 6 6 -
Lucas Troutman * 24 3-9 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 2 5 8 5 -
Austin Hamilton * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jack Isenbarger 26 4-8 3-6 7-8 3 1 0 0 1 18 13 -
Kevin Blake 16 3-4 0-0 1-3 0 0 3 0 1 7 5 -
Ryan Winters 11 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -
Tony Sabato 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 2 2 -
Brian Dawkins 8 0-1 0-0 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 1 3 -
Luke Eddy 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Florida Atlantic Owls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pablo Bertone * 37 7-22 2-9 1-4 1 3 1 0 3 17 -3 -
Kelvin Penn * 33 1-3 0-0 4-4 8 0 3 2 0 6 16 -
Justin Raffington * 30 4-7 0-0 2-5 13 1 0 2 3 10 16 -
Marquan Botley * 28 5-12 1-5 1-1 3 2 3 0 1 12 7 -
Jackson Trapp * 25 3-8 1-4 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 7 0 -
D'Andre Johnson 24 1-5 0-3 2-4 2 2 0 0 1 4 2 -
Dragan Sekelja 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
Javier Lacunza 8 1-3 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
Richard Morrow 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 1 -

* = starter