Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | App State Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.1% | 23.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.3% | 20.7% | -7.4 | ✓ (0.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 69.1% | 30.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.5% | 11.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: App State Mountaineers -7 (76-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryley Beaumont * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Jack Isenbarger * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 18 | - |
| Sebastian Koch * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 30 | - |
| Lucas Troutman * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Kevin Blake * | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Tanner Samson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| Austin Hamilton | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Tony Sabato | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Winters | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Brian Dawkins | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
App State Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tommy Spagnolo * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Tab Hamilton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 18 | - |
| Chris Burgess * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 25 | - |
| Michael Neal * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 19 | - |
| Michael Obacha * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | - |
| Ty Toney | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Mike Kobani | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Tevin Baskin | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Frank Eaves | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter