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Elon

2010 Team Stats (3 games)

63.3
PPG
63.7
Opp
-0.3
Margin
41.0%
FG%
26.8%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
32.7
RPG
12.3
APG
9.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2009-2010
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ†’ 824 (#259) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 839 (#276) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +96 elo More โ†’ 937 (#259) HCA +96 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.1 More โ†’ -8.0 (#269) HCA +3.1
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.9 More โ†’ -5.0 (#239) HCA +2.9
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.223 (#295) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -13.6 More โ†’ 0.173 (#280) AdjNet -13.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -13.7 More โ†’ 0.170 (#280) AdjNet -13.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 70.8 More โ†’ 0.334 (#270) AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 70.8
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 69.9 More โ†’ 0.416 (#243) AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 69.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.298 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.313 (#270) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 150 | GP 30 More โ†’ 845 (#270) RD 150 | GP 30

2010 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2009-11-14 @ Lipscomb Bisons W 91 - 86
2009-11-16 @ Charlotte 49ers L 61 - 75
2009-11-17 vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers L 46 - 69
2009-11-20 vs FDU-Florham Devils W 102 - 68
2009-11-23 @ Hofstra Pride L 46 - 70
2009-11-24 @ Yale Bulldogs L 65 - 69
2009-11-29 vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks L 56 - 86
2009-12-03 @ Samford Bulldogs L 31 - 55
2009-12-05 @ Chattanooga Mocs W 82 - 63
2009-12-13 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons L 50 - 90
2009-12-17 @ NC State Wolfpack L 76 - 79
2009-12-29 @ Ohio Bobcats L 59 - 71
2010-01-02 @ Navy Midshipmen L 73 - 79
2010-01-07 vs Furman Paladins L 48 - 53
2010-01-09 vs Wofford Terriers L 55 - 72
2010-01-13 @ Appalachian State Mountaineers L 65 - 89
2010-01-16 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 81 - 83
2010-01-21 vs Samford Bulldogs L 49 - 50
2010-01-23 vs Chattanooga Mocs W 83 - 80
2010-01-28 @ UNC Greensboro Spartans L 55 - 62
2010-02-03 @ Wofford Terriers L 56 - 72
2010-02-06 @ Furman Paladins W 66 - 55
2010-02-08 vs Western Carolina Catamounts W 81 - 76
2010-02-13 vs The Citadel Bulldogs L 72 - 77
2010-02-17 vs UNC Greensboro Spartans W 70 - 65
2010-02-20 @ Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs W 84 - 79
2010-02-22 vs Appalachian State Mountaineers L 54 - 58
2010-02-25 @ Georgia Southern Eagles L 88 - 98
2010-02-27 vs Davidson Wildcats L 96 - 99
2010-03-05 @ Davidson Wildcats W 66 - 59
2010-03-06 @ Western Carolina Catamounts L 57 - 68

2010 Roster

No roster data available for this season.