Elon
2010 Team Stats (3 games)
63.3
PPG
63.7
Opp
-0.3
Margin
41.0%
FG%
26.8%
3P%
64.4%
FT%
32.7
RPG
12.3
APG
9.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
63.2
Adj PPG
70.8
Adj Opp PPG
#270
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2009-2010
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 824 (#259) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 839 (#276) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 937 (#259) | HCA +96 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -8.0 (#269) | HCA +3.1 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -5.0 (#239) | HCA +2.9 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.223 (#295) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.173 (#280) | AdjNet -13.6 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.170 (#280) | AdjNet -13.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.334 (#270) | AdjO 63.2 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.416 (#243) | AdjO 66.2 | AdjD 69.9 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.298 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.313 (#270) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 845 (#270) | RD 150 | GP 30 |
2010 Schedule & Results
2010 Roster
No roster data available for this season.