Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Navy Midshipmen | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.7% | 62.3% | +2.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 43.6% | 56.4% | +1.4 | ✓ (4.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Navy Midshipmen +6 (79-73). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Douglas * | 36 | 5-10 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 10 | - |
| Chris Long * | 36 | 8-14 | 5-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 19 | - |
| Drew Spradlin * | 29 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | - |
| Devan Carter * | 27 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 10 | - |
| A. Constantine * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 15 | - |
| T. Birdette | 27 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| S. Grable | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Daniel Watts | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Josh Bonney | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Navy Midshipmen
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Garcia * | 37 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Chris Harris * | 36 | 6-17 | 3-9 | 7-8 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 6 | - |
| Jordan Sugars * | 34 | 8-19 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 14 | - |
| O.J. Avworo * | 34 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jeremy Wilson * | 15 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Greg Brown | 14 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 12 | - |
| Alex Newsome | 10 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Topercer | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Carlton Smith | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Montez Blair | 3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | - |
| S. Brooks | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter