Model Predictions
| Model | Elon Phoenix | Samford Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | +2.4 | ✓ (21.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (17.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.9% | 59.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 29.0% | 71.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Samford Bulldogs +24 (55-31). Ratings: 2009-10 season-end ratings.
Elon Phoenix
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Bonney | 34 | 4-18 | 0-10 | 1-4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -5 | - |
| Roger Dugas | 30 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| Drew Spradlin | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Adam Constantine | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Chris Long | 20 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Terrance Birdette | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Devan Carter | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -5 | - |
| T.J. Douglas | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Jon Ogolo | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Daniel Watts | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Brett Ervin | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Samford Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Montgomery | 30 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Jeffrey Merritt | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| Josh Davis | 29 | 4-6 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Bryan Friday | 27 | 5-11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| Andy King | 25 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Kaylin Johnson | 19 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Matthew Friday | 15 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| John Peterson | 13 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Gregg Wooten | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Peter Carroll | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter