Eastern Kentucky Colonels
2022 Team Stats (30 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More โ | 793 (#273) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ | 818 (#304) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | 923 (#284) | HCA +78 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More โ | -5.6 (#257) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More โ | -7.2 (#273) | HCA +2.1 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ | 0.448 (#206) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More โ | 0.310 (#238) | AdjNet -7.0 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More โ | 0.311 (#238) | AdjNet -6.9 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More โ | 0.385 (#256) | AdjO 72.2 | AdjD 77.3 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More โ | 0.403 (#273) | AdjO 71.8 | AdjD 76.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More โ | 0.331 (#268) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More โ | 0.334 (#269) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More โ | 812 (#297) | RD 163 | GP 27 |
2022 Schedule & Results
2022 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
J. Brown
|
- | 28 | 19.4 | 12.4 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 0.0 | 1.8 | 10.9 | 5.1 | -60 | 22 | -2.7 | -6.2 | 38.0 | 30.4 | 79.0 | -4.3 | 49.3 | 43.1 |
M. Moreno
|
- | 30 | 26.2 | 11.8 | 5.5 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 10.0 | 10.1 | 22 | 23 | 1.0 | 1.5 | 44.9 | 36.5 | 66.7 | 2.09 | 56.6 | 55.8 |
Devontae Blanton
|
F | 28 | 28.4 | 11.0 | 6.3 | 2.9 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 9.4 | 10.9 | -7 | 21 | -0.3 | -0.5 | 43.5 | 39.3 | 81.9 | 1.19 | 52.6 | 47.7 |
Curt Lewis
|
G | 28 | 25.4 | 9.9 | 5.4 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 1.8 | 9.2 | 7.2 | -51 | 22 | -2.3 | -3.9 | 38.2 | 34.0 | 54.5 | -0.85 | 49.1 | 47.9 |
B. Beverly
|
G | 16 | 22.6 | 9.6 | 1.6 | 3.5 | 1.5 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 8.9 | 5.8 | 9 | 13 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 35.7 | 37.4 | 68.0 | 0.07 | 49.7 | 47.6 |
C. Robb
|
- | 30 | 31.8 | 9.6 | 4.5 | 2.4 | 1.6 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 8.5 | 8.5 | -65 | 23 | -2.8 | -3.6 | 40.4 | 35.9 | 68.8 | -2.98 | 53.5 | 52.2 |
Jannson Williams
|
F | 23 | 16.8 | 7.9 | 3.4 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.0 | 6.0 | 6.6 | 26 | 18 | 1.4 | 2.9 | 44.5 | 35.2 | 75.7 | 1.8 | 59.0 | 55.8 |
R. Cruickshank
|
G | 30 | 25.0 | 7.1 | 1.7 | 3.0 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 6.7 | 4.9 | -56 | 23 | -2.4 | -4.3 | 37.6 | 37.0 | 100.0 | -2.31 | 51.2 | 49.3 |
M. Wardy
|
- | 25 | 10.7 | 4.7 | 2.4 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.7 | 2.9 | 5.0 | -56 | 18 | -3.1 | -12.8 | 73.6 | 0 | 54.5 | -3.05 | 72.2 | 73.6 |
Tariq Balogun
|
- | 21 | 14.2 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 1.4 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 4.6 | 11 | 17 | 0.6 | 2.1 | 58.5 | 0.0 | 52.9 | -0.6 | 58.9 | 58.5 |
Danielle Jackson
|
- | 17 | 8.9 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 1.7 | -14 | 9 | -1.6 | -11.2 | 33.3 | 25.0 | 63.6 | -2.71 | 44.8 | 41.7 |
I. Bennett
|
F | 10 | 6.3 | 1.2 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.4 | 1.3 | -21 | 8 | -2.6 | -18.6 | 42.9 | 0 | 0 | -2.63 | 42.9 | 42.9 |
J. Reeves-Young
|
G | 5 | 1.2 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | -0.6 | - | - | - | - | 20.0 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 30.0 | 30.0 |
I. Minter
|
G | 12 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.7 | 0.3 | - | - | - | - | 12.5 | 25.0 | 0 | - | 18.8 | 18.8 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2021-2022 Shot Zones
366 located field-goal attempts in 5 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Devontae BlantonJannson WilliamsM. MorenoC. RobbJ. BrownR. CruickshankB. Beverly
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 138-312 | 44.2 | 276 | Devontae Blanton 16% (44 pts) | Jannson Williams 12% (34 pts) | J. Brown 18% (31 misses) | C. Robb 17% (30 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 0-7 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | B. Beverly 57% (4 misses) | C. Robb 14% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 4-5 | 80.0 | 8 | Jannson Williams 50% (4 pts) | R. Cruickshank 50% (4 pts) | B. Beverly 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range center | 4-5 | 80.0 | 8 | B. Beverly 75% (6 pts) | C. Robb 25% (2 pts) | M. Moreno 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 7-8 | 87.5 | 14 | B. Beverly 29% (4 pts) | C. Robb 29% (4 pts) | M. Moreno 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 0-2 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | C. Robb 50% (1 misses) | Devontae Blanton 50% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | R. Cruickshank 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Above-break 3 left | 0-10 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | B. Beverly 20% (2 misses) | C. Robb 20% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 0-5 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | C. Robb 40% (2 misses) | B. Beverly 20% (1 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 0-11 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | B. Beverly 18% (2 misses) | C. Robb 18% (2 misses) |