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ETSU

Also known as: ETSU
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1046 (#138) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1083 (#126) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 981 (#395) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +28.6 (#13) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +19.2 (#65) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.994 (#47) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +40.6 More → 0.991 (#17) AdjNet +40.6
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +40.5 More → 0.992 (#18) AdjNet +40.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 55.9 More → 0.934 (#25) AdjO 84.9 | AdjD 55.9
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 71.0 More → 0.663 (#93) AdjO 78.5 | AdjD 71.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.843 (#36) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.805 (#55) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 326 | GP 2 More → 1075 (#153) RD 326 | GP 2

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 vs Converse - Incomplete score
2025-12-07 vs Tusculum - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

No roster data available for this season.