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Converse

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022
Also known as: Converse
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1050 (#103) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 899 (#443) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 868 (#557) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → -6.3 (#266) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → -8.8 (#448) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.494 (#338) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff +37.5 More → 0.983 (#115) NetEff +37.5
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.457 (#434) AdjNet -1.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -1.5 More → 0.455 (#439) AdjNet -1.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 77.5 More → 0.469 (#441) AdjO 76.1 | AdjD 77.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 80.0 More → 0.364 (#489) AdjO 73.9 | AdjD 80.0
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.281 (#485) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.282 (#491) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 105 | GP 19 More → 783 (#459) RD 105 | GP 19

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ ETSU L 50 - 102
2025-11-14 @ Ga. Southwestern L 67 - 91
2025-11-15 @ Coker W 92 - 57
2025-11-22 @ Emmanuel (GA) L 79 - 90
2025-11-25 @ Augusta L 67 - 78
2025-11-29 @ Georgia College L 62 - 81
2025-12-03 @ North Greenville W 72 - 70
2025-12-06 vs Southern Wesleyan W 103 - 96
2025-12-13 vs Belmont Abbey L 67 - 70
2025-12-16 @ King (TN) W 68 - 67
2025-12-31 @ Livingstone W 88 - 77
2026-01-03 @ Ferrum L 93 - 100
2026-01-07 @ Lees-McRae L 81 - 84
2026-01-09 vs Shorter W 77 - 69
2026-01-17 vs Barton L 86 - 89
2026-01-19 @ UNC Pembroke L 68 - 88
2026-01-29 vs North Greenville L 67 - 76
2026-02-04 @ Belmont Abbey L 69 - 80
2026-02-07 @ Mount Olive L 76 - 80

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Will Fowler - 18 33.3 19.1 2.7 3.4 0.7 0.1 2.5 12.2 11.3 -6 -0.4 -3.0 46.6 41.7 82.8 1.18 63.5 56.4
Jordyn Surratt - 19 35.9 18.9 8.4 2.2 0.7 0.3 1.7 13.5 15.3 106 6.6 51.1 46.7 33.3 76.0 2.37 57.7 51.6
Camden Edmonds - 18 28.2 9.3 3.6 1.1 0.9 0.3 0.6 9.4 5.2 14 0.8 6.7 35.5 31.8 76.5 0.76 47.6 45.9
Tre Locklear - 18 31.5 8.3 2.1 2.9 0.8 0.1 1.4 8.4 4.3 6 0.3 2.3 34.2 30.3 81.8 0.81 46.1 43.1
Chrisean Oree - 12 22.0 8.2 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.2 1.1 6.4 5.2 5 0.4 6.5 42.9 38.6 75.0 1.76 57.1 53.9
Nehemiah Thompkins - 1 14.8 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 5.0 5.0 - - - 60.0 50.0 0 - 70.0 70.0
Sirr Hughes - 1 40.0 7.0 4.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 8.0 12.0 -5.0 - - - 25.0 14.3 0 - 29.2 29.2
Latavian Lawrence - 16 15.4 6.9 3.7 0.2 0.6 0.6 1.0 5.0 6.0 -11 -0.7 -8.6 43.8 40.4 65.5 -1.9 59.3 56.9
Schumel Shepherd - 3 17.8 5.3 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.7 2.7 6.3 - - - 87.5 100.0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Jonathon Pickering - 17 12.3 3.8 1.9 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.5 2.9 3.4 -49 -3.3 -110.7 51.0 10.0 54.2 -0.13 53.7 52.0
Ioannis Donakis - 19 14.2 3.1 1.9 0.4 0.5 0.1 0.7 2.4 2.8 -5 -0.3 -4.7 46.7 0.0 70.8 0.52 53.1 46.7
Ethan Brownell - 17 9.7 1.6 1.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 -4 -0.2 -5.2 46.4 22.2 0.0 -0.29 49.2 50.0
Finley Pruever - 14 9.8 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 1.4 41 3.4 41.5 33.3 27.3 33.3 0.19 41.4 41.7
Hong-Hao Chen - 2 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - 0 0 0 - 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG