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Tusculum

Season: 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Tusculum
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 982 (#224) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 995 (#254) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 868 (#558) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More → +2.2 (#201) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.7 (#279) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.359 (#405) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.593 (#366) AdjNet +3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.4 More → 0.598 (#366) AdjNet +3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.579 (#347) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.496 (#308) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.462 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.453 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 24 More → 908 (#341) RD 99 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Col. of Charleston L 58 - 79
2025-11-14 vs Clayton St. W 97 - 72
2025-11-15 @ Chowan L 68 - 75
2025-11-18 @ North Greenville W 76 - 60
2025-11-22 vs Trevecca Nazarene L 75 - 98
2025-11-25 @ Newberry L 61 - 93
2025-11-29 vs Coker W 70 - 68
2025-12-02 vs Crown (TN) W 127 - 72
2025-12-06 vs Wingate L 74 - 85
2025-12-07 @ ETSU L 62 - 78
2025-12-10 vs Carson-Newman L 73 - 100
2025-12-13 vs Catawba W 76 - 75
2025-12-17 @ Mars Hill W 77 - 60
2026-01-03 vs Bluefield St. W 78 - 71
2026-01-07 @ Lincoln Memorial L 60 - 67
2026-01-10 @ Anderson (SC) L 65 - 86
2026-01-14 @ UVA Wise L 66 - 79
2026-01-17 vs Lenoir-Rhyne L 82 - 87
2026-01-21 vs Emory & Henry L 71 - 78
2026-01-24 @ Coker W 89 - 75
2026-01-28 @ Carson-Newman L 60 - 69
2026-01-30 @ Wingate L 66 - 80
2026-02-04 vs Lincoln Memorial L 58 - 65
2026-02-07 @ Catawba L 76 - 93

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Corbin Pack - 1 32.3 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 15.0 -95 -5.0 -24.6 70.0 57.1 0 -1.32 90.0 90.0
Kendall Campbell - 1 24.3 17.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 9.0 -36 -5.1 -9.5 66.7 0 50.0 -0.92 66.0 66.7
Zion McDuffie - 1 17.3 17.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 65 3.0 48.5 77.8 100.0 66.7 2.17 82.4 83.3
Bryce Jackson - 22 29.7 13.3 4.6 2.3 1.1 0.1 1.8 11.0 8.8 -22 -0.9 -4.0 38.2 33.7 72.9 -1.71 50.9 44.6
Derek Bradley - 1 24.7 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 -94 -4.5 -29.7 50.0 0.0 66.7 0.51 56.4 50.0
Jashaun Hawkins - 1 19.7 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -23 -1.2 -28.6 50.0 50.0 75.0 -1.02 70.9 66.7
TJ Printup - 22 26.7 10.6 6.0 2.0 2.3 1.3 1.7 7.7 12.8 -36 -1.6 -7.1 46.5 33.3 68.7 2.23 56.7 52.1
Chase Daniel - 1 16.8 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 56 2.9 35.5 50.0 33.3 0 -0.5 62.5 62.5
Stephen Quinn - 1 18.7 9.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 11 0.6 6.1 42.9 50.0 0 1.44 64.3 64.3
Amari Allen - 22 21.4 8.9 6.0 2.1 1.3 0.1 2.1 7.2 9.1 -22 -3.1 -6.7 48.7 39.5 76.5 -2.0 56.4 53.5
Ibra Athie - 1 16.4 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 95 4.5 74.0 40.0 0 100.0 -1.68 59.2 40.0
Jordan Attia - 22 21.0 7.5 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 7.7 3.0 -17 -0.8 -4.5 38.5 34.5 75.0 -1.97 46.4 44.4
Justin Banks - 1 14.8 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 189 9.0 137.8 42.9 0.0 33.3 2.08 42.1 42.9
Wesley Johnson - 22 20.3 6.3 2.8 0.9 0.1 0.5 1.2 6.0 3.5 -24 -1.1 -6.4 38.9 38.4 81.8 4.7 51.2 49.6
Malachi Hale - 22 18.5 6.0 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.5 3.2 34 1.4 13.8 44.0 39.5 73.7 1.04 60.9 59.0
Alex Godley - 1 35.8 6.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 -93 -4.4 -20.2 14.3 0.0 100.0 1.33 34.2 14.3
Jalen Hilliard - 1 6.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -15 -1.5 -97.8 66.7 0 100.0 -0.84 77.3 66.7
Damjan Vukčević - 22 15.1 5.7 4.2 0.6 0.3 1.1 1.1 5.0 5.9 -120 -4.0 -43.2 43.6 20.0 62.2 -1.2 48.2 44.1
J3 Swindell - 16 13.7 5.5 2.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 3.8 4.1 -60 -3.5 -38.7 42.6 21.1 72.7 -1.56 54.8 45.9
Denaj Kimber - 16 16.2 4.6 0.9 1.7 0.9 0.1 0.4 4.2 3.6 -47 -3.1 -27.4 42.6 28.1 100.0 2.17 52.1 49.3
Taj Kimber - 12 11.5 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.8 1.3 33 2.2 25.8 44.4 23.1 100.0 -0.48 49.0 47.8
Naim Ibroci - 5 7.2 3.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 2.8 0.2 12 3.0 22.6 35.7 35.7 100.0 0.72 57.1 53.6
Reed Ownby - 11 7.4 3.1 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.5 3.2 1.0 - - - 40.0 25.0 100.0 - 47.4 45.7
Lorenzo Sedita - 5 5.5 3.0 2.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.4 3.6 - - - 50.0 50.0 100.0 - 58.2 54.2
Jeremiah Wilson - 18 12.3 2.4 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.7 2.2 1.9 -10 -0.6 -7.9 46.2 45.5 50.0 2.04 52.7 52.6
Johny Mathiang - 3 5.6 2.0 2.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 2.3 - - - 60.0 0.0 0 - 60.0 60.0
AJ Murphy - 7 6.1 2.0 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.3 2.0 2.4 -14 -2.3 -69.4 42.9 33.3 100.0 0.01 48.5 46.4
Jacori Owens - 1 12.4 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -35 -2.7 -25.5 0.0 0 100.0 -2.11 34.7 0.0
Jayden Street - 1 6.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -32 -1.8 -16.9 0 0 100.0 -1.33 113.6 0
Jordan Simpson - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 165 7.5 99.7 33.3 0.0 0 0.01 33.3 33.3
Alexander Gray - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Shawn Long - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 40 1.9 75.9 33.3 0.0 0 -2.22 33.3 33.3
Jartavious Jackson - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -16 -3.2 -15.3 33.3 0.0 0 -1.11 33.3 33.3
LeVionne Lindsey - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 91 4.3 46.5 33.3 0.0 0 -2.54 33.3 33.3
Malachi McCutcheon - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 131 10.9 2214.1 33.3 0.0 0 -0.4 33.3 33.3
Jacob Bryant - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 104 5.5 168.5 33.3 0.0 0 0.14 33.3 33.3
Dermot Lowry - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 - 33.3 33.3
Solomon Tucker - 1 7.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -15 -0.9 -16.3 0 0 50.0 -2.3 56.8 0
Jai'Den Davis - 5 3.9 0.8 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.0 0.8 2.6 24 1.3 10.2 25.0 0.0 66.7 1.54 37.6 25.0
Nick Walker - 1 15.1 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 47 2.9 29.9 0.0 0 0 1.68 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG