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Tusculum

Also known as: Tusculum
Program History

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 855 (#492) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 924 (#399) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +95 elo More → 868 (#558) HCA +95 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.7 More → +2.6 (#237) HCA +2.7
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.3 More → +2.7 (#279) HCA +3.3
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.359 (#405) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +3.3 More → 0.593 (#366) AdjNet +3.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +3.4 More → 0.598 (#366) AdjNet +3.4
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 73.1 More → 0.579 (#347) AdjO 76.6 | AdjD 73.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.9 More → 0.496 (#308) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 72.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.462 (#345) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.453 (#350) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 99 | GP 24 More → 902 (#364) RD 99 | GP 24

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-03 @ Col. of Charleston - Incomplete score
2025-11-14 vs Clayton St. - Incomplete score
2025-11-15 @ Chowan - Incomplete score
2025-11-18 @ North Greenville - Incomplete score
2025-11-22 vs Trevecca Nazarene - Incomplete score
2025-11-25 @ Newberry - Incomplete score
2025-11-29 vs Coker - Incomplete score
2025-12-02 vs Crown (TN) - Incomplete score
2025-12-06 vs Wingate - Incomplete score
2025-12-07 @ ETSU - Incomplete score
2025-12-10 vs Carson-Newman - Incomplete score
2025-12-13 vs Catawba - Incomplete score
2025-12-17 @ Mars Hill - Incomplete score
2026-01-03 vs Bluefield St. - Incomplete score
2026-01-07 @ Lincoln Memorial - Incomplete score
2026-01-10 @ Anderson (SC) - Incomplete score
2026-01-14 @ UVA Wise - Incomplete score
2026-01-17 vs Lenoir-Rhyne - Incomplete score
2026-01-21 vs Emory & Henry - Incomplete score
2026-01-24 @ Coker - Incomplete score
2026-01-28 @ Carson-Newman - Incomplete score
2026-01-30 @ Wingate - Incomplete score
2026-02-04 vs Lincoln Memorial - Incomplete score
2026-02-07 @ Catawba - Incomplete score

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Corbin Pack - 1 32.3 18.0 4.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 1.0 10.0 15.0 -95 -5.0 -24.6 70.0 57.1 0 -0.64 90.0 90.0
Kendall Campbell - 1 24.3 17.0 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 12.0 9.0 -36 -5.1 -9.5 66.7 0 50.0 -1.69 66.0 66.7
Zion McDuffie - 1 17.3 17.0 3.0 1.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 9.0 12.0 65 3.0 48.5 77.8 100.0 66.7 1.42 82.4 83.3
Bryce Jackson - 20 31.0 14.3 4.8 2.5 1.2 0.1 1.9 11.4 9.8 -22 -0.9 -4.0 39.5 35.2 72.4 -1.46 52.3 46.3
Derek Bradley - 1 24.7 12.0 5.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 14.0 -94 -4.5 -29.7 50.0 0.0 66.7 -0.23 56.4 50.0
Jashaun Hawkins - 1 19.7 11.0 5.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 6.0 10.0 -23 -1.2 -28.6 50.0 50.0 75.0 -4.28 70.9 66.7
TJ Printup - 20 28.0 10.8 6.5 2.2 2.4 1.4 1.6 7.8 13.8 -36 -1.6 -7.1 45.9 30.8 69.1 2.23 56.1 51.0
Chase Daniel - 1 16.8 10.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 8.0 2.0 56 2.9 35.5 50.0 33.3 0 -0.88 62.5 62.5
Amari Allen - 20 22.1 9.1 6.2 2.2 1.4 0.1 2.1 7.3 9.4 -22 -3.1 -6.7 48.3 38.9 75.8 0.7 56.0 53.1
Stephen Quinn - 1 18.7 9.0 1.0 3.0 1.0 0.0 1.0 7.0 6.0 11 0.6 6.1 42.9 50.0 0 3.1 64.3 64.3
Ibra Athie - 1 16.4 8.0 7.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 5.0 10.0 95 4.5 74.0 40.0 0 100.0 1.82 59.2 40.0
Jordan Attia - 20 21.6 7.7 2.5 1.4 0.5 0.0 1.2 7.9 3.0 -17 -0.8 -4.5 38.0 33.3 75.0 2.9 45.9 43.7
Justin Banks - 1 14.8 7.0 2.0 0.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 7.0 4.0 189 9.0 137.8 42.9 0.0 33.3 6.06 42.1 42.9
Wesley Johnson - 20 20.7 6.6 2.8 1.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 5.9 3.8 -24 -1.1 -6.4 40.7 41.5 81.8 -0.81 53.7 52.1
Malachi Hale - 20 19.1 6.3 1.5 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.5 4.6 3.7 34 1.4 13.8 45.7 42.0 77.8 0.9 63.6 61.4
Damjan Vukčević - 20 15.3 6.2 4.2 0.6 0.2 1.1 0.8 5.1 6.3 -120 -4.0 -43.2 46.1 20.0 62.2 -3.21 50.5 46.6
Alex Godley - 1 35.8 6.0 7.0 3.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 7.0 7.0 -93 -4.4 -20.2 14.3 0.0 100.0 -0.56 34.2 14.3
Jalen Hilliard - 1 6.3 6.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 3.0 -15 -1.5 -97.8 66.7 0 100.0 -3.68 77.3 66.7
J3 Swindell - 14 13.4 5.3 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.3 3.7 3.4 -60 -3.5 -38.7 40.4 12.5 76.9 -2.26 53.5 42.3
Denaj Kimber - 14 16.0 4.6 0.8 1.7 1.0 0.1 0.4 4.0 3.9 -47 -3.1 -27.4 44.6 30.8 100.0 -1.5 54.6 51.8
Taj Kimber - 12 11.5 3.8 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.2 3.8 1.3 33 2.2 25.8 44.4 23.1 100.0 3.55 49.0 47.8
Reed Ownby - 9 6.7 3.1 1.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 2.9 1.7 - - - 42.3 33.3 100.0 -2.06 52.1 50.0
AJ Murphy - 5 4.5 2.8 0.4 0.8 0.6 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.8 -14 -2.3 -69.4 75.0 50.0 100.0 0.02 82.9 81.2
Lorenzo Sedita - 3 4.2 2.7 2.7 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 4.0 - - - 50.0 0.0 100.0 1.54 58.1 50.0
Jeremiah Wilson - 16 12.0 2.5 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.0 0.8 2.2 1.8 -10 -0.6 -7.9 48.6 50.0 100.0 -1.07 55.7 54.3
Jacori Owens - 1 12.4 2.0 3.0 2.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 5.0 -35 -2.7 -25.5 0.0 0 100.0 -1.24 34.7 0.0
Jayden Street - 1 6.8 2.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 -32 -1.8 -16.9 0 0 100.0 -0.11 113.6 0
Jordan Simpson - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 165 7.5 99.7 33.3 0.0 0 5.05 33.3 33.3
Alexander Gray - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 1.33 33.3 33.3
Shawn Long - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 40 1.9 75.9 33.3 0.0 0 -1.12 33.3 33.3
Jartavious Jackson - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 -16 -3.2 -15.3 33.3 0.0 0 1.02 33.3 33.3
LeVionne Lindsey - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 91 4.3 46.5 33.3 0.0 0 -1.76 33.3 33.3
Malachi McCutcheon - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 131 10.9 2214.1 33.3 0.0 0 0.29 33.3 33.3
Jacob Bryant - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 104 5.5 168.5 33.3 0.0 0 -0.05 33.3 33.3
Dermot Lowry - 1 20.9 2.0 6.0 2.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 3.0 6.0 - - - 33.3 0.0 0 0.57 33.3 33.3
Johny Mathiang - 2 6.0 2.0 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.0 3.0 - - - 100.0 0 0 - 100.0 100.0
Naim Ibroci - 3 4.1 2.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.7 12 3.0 22.6 50.0 50.0 0 0.97 75.0 75.0
Solomon Tucker - 1 7.7 1.0 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0 -15 -0.9 -16.3 0 0 50.0 -3.12 56.8 0
Jai'Den Davis - 3 1.9 0.3 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3 1.3 24 1.3 10.2 0.0 0 50.0 2.2 26.6 0.0
Nick Walker - 1 15.1 0.0 4.0 0.0 1.0 1.0 2.0 1.0 3.0 47 2.9 29.9 0.0 0 0 -0.82 0.0 0.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG