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Duke

Season: 2027 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils
Program History
Coach: Gail Goestenkors

2005 Team Stats (11 games)

66.4
PPG
60.2
Opp
+6.2
Margin
41.4%
FG%
32.4%
3P%
73.2%
FT%
33.8
RPG
0.0
APG
0.0
TO
-
Est. poss./game
77.9
Adj PPG
47.1
Adj Opp PPG
#3
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2004-2005
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1376 (#7) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1473 (#6) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +92 elo More → 1197 (#11) HCA +92 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +3.6 More → +32.6 (#3) HCA +3.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +3.4 More → +30.0 (#6) HCA +3.4
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.971 (#5) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +50.0 More → 0.997 (#3) AdjNet +50.0
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +51.2 More → 0.997 (#3) AdjNet +51.2
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 47.1 More → 0.943 (#3) AdjO 77.9 | AdjD 47.1
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 50.9 More → 0.880 (#6) AdjO 72.8 | AdjD 50.9
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.965 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.959 (#5) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 36 More → 1419 (#7) RD 100 | GP 36

2005 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2004-11-12 vs Davidson Wildcats W 89 - 69
2004-11-14 vs South Florida Bulls W 82 - 50
2004-11-17 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 65 - 76
2004-11-19 vs Penn State Lady Lions W 66 - 58
2004-11-26 vs Stephen F. Austin Ladyjacks W 84 - 29
2004-11-27 vs Kansas State Wildcats W 63 - 51
2004-12-02 @ Tennessee Lady Volunteers W 59 - 57
2004-12-04 vs Pacific Tigers W 86 - 30
2004-12-12 vs Liberty Flames W 83 - 48
2004-12-15 vs Jacksonville State Gamecocks W 99 - 36
2004-12-18 @ Purdue Boilermakers W 66 - 48
2004-12-20 @ Ball State Cardinals W 81 - 31
2004-12-29 @ Rhode Island Rams W 89 - 63
2004-12-31 @ Auburn Tigers W 80 - 61
2005-01-04 vs Holy Cross Crusaders W 101 - 42
2005-01-09 vs Virginia Tech Hokies W 88 - 67
2005-01-14 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 87 - 65
2005-01-17 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 82 - 59
2005-01-19 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 99 - 86
2005-01-24 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 51 - 56
2005-01-27 vs Maryland Terrapins W 60 - 57
2005-01-30 @ NC State Wolfpack W 52 - 49
2005-02-03 @ Miami Hurricanes W 72 - 63
2005-02-06 vs Florida State Seminoles W 75 - 64
2005-02-13 @ Maryland Terrapins W 60 - 49
2005-02-17 vs Clemson Tigers W 72 - 48
2005-02-20 @ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 73 - 55
2005-02-24 vs Miami Hurricanes W 95 - 61
2005-02-27 vs North Carolina Tar Heels L 68 - 77
2005-03-05 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 107 - 50
2005-03-06 vs Maryland Terrapins W 74 - 44
2005-03-07 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 67 - 88
2005-03-20 vs Canisius Golden Griffins W 80 - 48
2005-03-22 vs Boston College Eagles W 70 - 65
2005-03-26 vs Georgia Lady Bulldogs W 63 - 57
2005-03-28 @ LSU Tigers L 49 - 59

2005 Roster

Minutes by Position

Not enough player minute data to plot.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
M. Currie M. Currie NA 11 0.0 17.1 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.5 9.3 - - - - 36.5 29.7 79.2 - 48.7 39.9
Sean Munson Sean Munson - 7 0.0 12.6 3.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0 5.3 - - - - 35.1 31.1 90.9 - 50.8 44.2
M. Bass M. Bass NA 11 0.0 10.3 5.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.7 7.9 - - - - 55.3 0.0 70.4 - 58.3 55.3
W. Smith W. Smith NA 11 0.0 8.8 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0 3.8 - - - - 37.5 43.8 73.9 - 49.4 45.5
A. Bales A. Bales NA 11 0.0 6.6 5.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.0 5.7 - - - - 43.9 0 53.6 - 46.6 43.9
B. Wyckoff B. Wyckoff - 2 0.0 5.5 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 2.0 - - - - 20.0 0.0 100.0 - 42.0 20.0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG