Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 15.5% | 84.5% | +9.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -9 (68-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 10-11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 19 | - |
| N. Bell | 0 | 5-14 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 6-15 | 4-9 | 7-8 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 6-7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 3-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 11 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 4-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 9-17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 22 | 9 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 4-8 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 6 | - |
| J. Foley | 0 | 3-9 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | - |
* = starter