Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.8 | ✗ (7.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 7-21 | 2-6 | 8-10 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24 | 12 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6 | - |
| J. Foley | 0 | 4-17 | 3-12 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| E. Larkins | 0 | 3-10 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 3-16 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 2 | - |
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 13 | - |
| L. Metcalf | 0 | 3-9 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 1 | - |
* = starter