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2005-01-24

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
ELO 50.8% 49.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.2% 38.8% -
Margin 62.7% 37.3% -2.8 (7.8 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
A. Bales 0 -2 - 1-6 6 1 5
M. Bass 0 1-2 - 2-2 6 4 8
M. Currie 0 7-21 2-6 8-10 9 24 12
W. Smith 0 -7 -3 - 1 -6
Player #2631 0 4-17 3-12 2-2 8 13 4

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
E. Larkins 0 3-10 -4 - 9 6 5
C. Little 0 1-8 -3 3-4 6 5 3
I. Latta 0 3-16 2-8 5-5 5 13 2
L. Atkinson 0 5-8 -1 2-4 9 12 13
L. Metcalf 0 3-9 2-5 - 2 8 1

* = starter