Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.8% | 49.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.2% | 38.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 62.7% | 37.3% | -2.8 | ✗ (23.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.8% | 52.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (88-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Bales | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Bass | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Currie | 0 | 7-17 | 3-7 | 9-11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 14 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 6 | - |
| J. Foley | 0 | 4-13 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Atkinson | 0 | 5-9 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 15 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 16 | - |
| N. Bell | 0 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| I. Latta | 0 | 6-15 | 3-7 | 11-15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 0 | 7-11 | 4-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 16 | - |
* = starter