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Drake

Also known as: Drake Bulldogs, Drake
Program History

2019 Team Stats (32 games)

75.5
PPG
69.3
Opp
+6.2
Margin
46.8%
FG%
36.4%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
36.1
RPG
15.3
APG
12.9
TO
-
Est. poss./game
74.2
Adj PPG
71.5
Adj Opp PPG
#138
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2018-2019
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt. More โ†’ Data withheld: source-integrity hold Historical Elo fit predates the season cutoff fix and has no verified season-bounded input receipt.
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More โ†’ 1121 (#84) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +83 elo More โ†’ 1046 (#98) HCA +83 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.8 More โ†’ +2.8 (#136) HCA +2.8
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.7 More โ†’ +1.6 (#146) HCA +2.7
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More โ†’ 0.624 (#97) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +4.5 More โ†’ 0.628 (#125) AdjNet +4.5
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +4.5 More โ†’ 0.628 (#126) AdjNet +4.5
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 71.5 More โ†’ 0.562 (#138) AdjO 74.2 | AdjD 71.5
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 70.7 More โ†’ 0.540 (#132) AdjO 72.5 | AdjD 70.7
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.589 (#126) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More โ†’ 0.585 (#124) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 118 | GP 32 More โ†’ 1088 (#104) RD 118 | GP 32

2019 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2018-11-08 vs Buena Vista Beavers W 98 - 52
2018-11-13 @ Colorado Buffaloes L 71 - 100
2018-11-17 vs Texas State Bobcats W 75 - 69
2018-11-21 @ Kansas City Roos W 66 - 63
2018-11-27 vs Boise State Broncos W 83 - 74
2018-12-01 vs North Dakota State Bison W 95 - 88
2018-12-06 @ Milwaukee Panthers W 75 - 61
2018-12-15 vs Iowa State Cyclones L 68 - 77
2018-12-17 vs SIU Edwardsville Cougars W 79 - 66
2018-12-19 vs Rider Broncs W 76 - 58
2018-12-22 @ New Mexico State Aggies W 66 - 63
2018-12-23 @ San Diego Toreros W 110 - 103
2018-12-29 vs McKendree Bearcats W 98 - 70
2019-01-02 @ Evansville Purple Aces L 77 - 82
2019-01-05 vs Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 74 - 85
2019-01-08 vs Southern Illinois Salukis W 82 - 70
2019-01-13 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 54 - 57
2019-01-16 @ Bradley Braves W 69 - 52
2019-01-20 vs Missouri State Bears W 74 - 63
2019-01-23 vs Evansville Purple Aces W 78 - 66
2019-01-26 @ Valparaiso Beacons W 70 - 59
2019-01-30 vs Illinois State Redbirds L 55 - 69
2019-02-02 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 68 - 62
2019-02-05 @ Loyola Chicago Ramblers L 64 - 86
2019-02-09 vs Northern Iowa Panthers W 83 - 77
2019-02-12 @ Southern Illinois Salukis W 72 - 69
2019-02-16 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 84 - 79
2019-02-19 vs Bradley Braves W 77 - 68
2019-02-24 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 60 - 67
2019-02-27 vs Indiana State Sycamores W 80 - 68
2019-03-02 @ Missouri State Bears W 73 - 62
2019-03-08 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 78 - 62
2019-03-09 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 58 - 60
2019-03-22 @ Southern Utah Thunderbirds L 73 - 80

2019 Roster

Minutes by Position

Each player's share of the team's minutes per game (season minutes over the roster's), placed by position, so every column is one game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Nick McGlynn Nick McGlynn F 30 28.8 15.2 8.2 1.4 0.5 1.7 1.7 10.7 14.6 136 24 5.7 9.1 54.5 24.6 76.7 2.94 61.1 56.9
Nick Norton Nick Norton G 12 32.1 13.6 4.2 5.8 1.2 0.0 1.2 9.8 13.7 46 9 5.1 7.9 45.8 36.8 93.8 -0.69 61.7 56.4
Brady Ellingson Brady Ellingson G 31 33.8 12.0 2.1 1.7 0.5 0.2 1.0 8.2 7.3 152 24 6.3 8.7 52.2 49.4 90.6 4.01 69.3 67.5
D.J. Wilkins D.J. Wilkins G 29 32.9 10.9 3.1 2.9 0.8 0.0 2.0 9.4 6.3 117 23 5.1 7.1 37.9 37.7 88.5 -1.87 53.0 48.3
Tremell Murphy Tremell Murphy F 31 26.6 10.6 6.3 1.6 0.7 0.5 2.0 8.0 9.7 114 25 4.6 8.1 49.8 42.1 61.3 0.76 55.6 53.0
Noah Thomas Noah Thomas G 32 22.5 7.0 2.5 2.7 0.8 0.0 2.3 6.0 4.6 71 25 2.8 5.5 39.4 30.2 78.9 -1.71 51.1 46.1
Anthony Murphy Anthony Murphy G 32 21.1 7.0 4.6 1.4 0.6 0.4 1.4 5.0 7.6 63 25 2.5 5.2 44.4 29.7 82.2 -0.98 58.3 51.2
Garrett Sturtz Garrett Sturtz G 31 18.2 5.4 2.6 1.1 0.7 0.1 1.0 3.5 5.4 32 22 1.5 3.8 53.3 30.4 80.4 -0.85 63.1 56.5
Liam Robbins Liam Robbins - 29 11.6 4.4 2.8 0.6 0.3 1.2 0.7 3.9 4.7 23 22 1.0 4.4 44.6 25.0 59.5 -1.08 49.0 46.0
Antonio Pilipovic Antonio Pilipovic F 19 6.9 1.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.3 2.1 0.4 7 13 0.5 3.0 28.2 22.9 0 -2.17 38.5 38.5
Samm Jones Samm Jones G 6 3.0 1.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.0 0.8 1 6 0.2 2.7 50.0 33.3 0 -1.9 58.3 58.3
Connor Gholson Connor Gholson G 1 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - 0 0 0 -1.5 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG