Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | Data withheld: source-integrity hold | |||
| Bradley-Terry | 60.9% | 39.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 59.2% | 40.8% | -2.1 | ✗ (9.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.2% | 30.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.2% | 45.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +7 (67-60). Ratings: 2018-19 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Ellingson * | 38 | 4-9 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| D.J. Wilkins * | 37 | 3-12 | 1-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 4 | - |
| Nick McGlynn * | 34 | 9-14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 11 | - |
| Tremell Murphy * | 22 | 5-9 | 1-1 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| Noah Thomas * | 19 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | -2 | - |
| Anthony Murphy | 25 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Garrett Sturtz | 19 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | - |
| Liam Robbins | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keyshawn Evans * | 33 | 2-6 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Milik Yarbrough * | 32 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 7-7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 15 | - |
| William Tinsley * | 29 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Phil Fayne * | 27 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - |
| Zach Copeland * | 24 | 0-6 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -5 | - |
| Matt Chastain | 27 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Isaac Gassman | 12 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Rey Idowu | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Matt Hein | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter