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2018-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Boise State Broncos Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 55.4% 44.6% -
Bradley-Terry 43.1% 56.9% -
Margin 44.1% 55.9% +1.3 (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 19.6% 80.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 12.7% 87.3% -
Log Adjusted 12.8% 87.2% -

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +9 (83-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jessup * 38 7-15 4-8 3-4 3 3 1 1 1 21 13 -
M. Dickinson * 30 4-7 3-5 3-4 3 0 1 0 2 14 9 -
D. Alston Jr. * 29 3-6 1-4 2-2 1 0 2 0 2 9 4 -
RJ Williams * 23 3-10 0-0 2-4 9 2 1 2 2 8 10 -
Z. Haney * 18 4-7 0-2 0-1 6 2 0 1 0 8 10 -
P. Dembley 34 5-16 0-5 0-0 6 2 1 0 4 10 -1 -
D. Wacker 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
M. Harwell 10 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Robbins 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 0 0 2 3 -
N. Norton * 37 4-13 2-8 8-8 5 4 1 0 1 18 14 -
N. McGlynn * 31 8-14 0-3 7-9 13 0 1 4 0 23 27 -
B. Ellingson * 30 1-5 1-5 3-4 2 1 0 2 1 6 5 -
D.J. Wilkins * 29 4-9 1-3 1-2 4 2 3 0 2 10 8 -
T. Murphy * 27 5-10 0-2 3-5 8 1 2 2 0 13 16 -
A. Murphy 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 3 0 2 2 0 3 -
G. Sturtz 12 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 0 4 2 -
N. Thomas 8 2-3 1-1 2-2 3 2 1 0 2 7 8 -

* = starter